TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119118114––––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Stetsenko to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 54 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Maksym Stetsenko at 64.1%
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 7–24 Maksym Stetsenko Oleksandr Mytsyk has won 7 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Stetsenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-24 in 31
Stetsenko
Wrong
gap of 17 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1388 vs Stetsenko 1380
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Stetsenko 80%
Stetsenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 60% vs Stetsenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk +2 · Stetsenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Stetsenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stetsenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 2.50 / Stetsenko 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Stetsenko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166340
Mytsyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Stetsenko1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 117 of 171
Up 2–0, closes it99% 69 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it88% 90 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMytsyk3wins
AwayStetsenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStetsenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk25%1 of 4
AwayStetsenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S2Mytsyk5Stetsenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mytsyk4Stetsenko6n = 10Stetsenko took 6 of 10
S4Mytsyk3Stetsenko6n = 9Stetsenko took 6 of 9
S5Mytsyk2Stetsenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMytsykStetsenkoM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.540.5−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1078 vs 442 / 85049.9%52%538 / 1078 vs 442 / 850Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StetsenkoMytsyk 2.50/Stetsenko 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Stetsenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk331111113M. Stetsenko219840
LSep 17 · 10:50O. Mytsyk4511861192M. Stetsenko44611115113
LSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk32961251M. Stetsenko43111110113
WSep 13 · 12:30O. Mytsyk521011911113M. Stetsenko3612111842
LSep 7 · 12:20O. Mytsyk4211115692M. Stetsenko47771111113
LSep 4 · 06:35O. Mytsyk336111241M. Stetsenko4311714113
LSep 3 · 08:50O. Mytsyk30951151M. Stetsenko4211119113
LSep 2 · 13:30O. Mytsyk4181111111M. Stetsenko4611139133
WAug 31 · 12:20O. Mytsyk38311112113M. Stetsenko39116111012
LAug 26 · 12:00O. Mytsyk3911711101M. Stetsenko4481113123
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682LSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 21 · 05:05V. Mukhin3.75117111032M. Stetsenko1.25611912113WSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540LSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113WSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113WSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192LSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.