TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155133
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksym Stetsenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111159111012––
Kostiantyn Klymenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:17 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeKostiantyn Klymenko to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Stetsenko above · Kostiantyn Klymenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 76 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Kostiantyn Klymenko at 74.4%
76 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Stetsenko 5–20 Kostiantyn Klymenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Klymenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-20 in 25
Klymenko
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stetsenko 1383 vs Klymenko 1390
Klymenko
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stetsenko 80% vs Klymenko 60%
Stetsenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stetsenko 50% vs Klymenko 70%
Klymenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stetsenko +2 · Klymenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Klymenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klymenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStetsenko 3.25 / Klymenko 1.33
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Klymenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13155133
Stetsenko3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Klymenko1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite61% won 116 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it93% 52 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStetsenko2wins
AwayKlymenko8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlymenko leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStetsenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKlymenko87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stetsenko2Klymenko8n = 10Klymenko took 8 of 10
S2Stetsenko3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S3Stetsenko3Klymenko7n = 10Klymenko took 7 of 10
S4Stetsenko2Klymenko1n = 3Stetsenko took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricStetsenkoKlymenkoS − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match29.035.7−6.7per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStetsenkoKlymenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime442 / 851 vs 439 / 84751.9%51.8%442 / 851 vs 439 / 847Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlymenkoStetsenko 3.25/Klymenko 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.4%
Klymenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Klymenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 06:20M. Stetsenko248790K. Klymenko331111113
LSep 10 · 06:20M. Stetsenko227870K. Klymenko331111113
LSep 4 · 11:05M. Stetsenko2668120K. Klymenko361111143
LSep 3 · 11:50M. Stetsenko192980K. Klymenko331111113
WSep 2 · 19:00M. Stetsenko341111123K. Klymenko2486100
LAug 31 · 05:50M. Stetsenko123630K. Klymenko331111113
LAug 17 · 11:50M. Stetsenko2311930K. Klymenko351311113
LAug 14 · 10:30M. Stetsenko3771171112K. Klymenko44118113113
LAug 6 · 09:20M. Stetsenko53158111182K. Klymenko541311613113
WJul 23 · 06:20M. Stetsenko4061112113K. Klymenko321161051
M. Stetsenko10
WSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540WSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113WSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113WSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192LSep 17 · 09:50M. Stetsenko1.838118111O. Ovsiienko1.8311211133LSep 17 · 08:20M. Stetsenko1.838990O. Lipeiko1.831111113LSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113WSep 14 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.50961251M. Stetsenko1.50111110113
K. Klymenko10
WSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042WSep 19 · 07:00S. Skhabitskiy1.57127821K. Klymenko2.25101111113LSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 18 · 11:05V. Mukhin2.101111113K. Klymenko1.677470WSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 09:05K. Klymenko1.5711117113V. Korniichuk2.25591171WSep 18 · 07:35K. Klymenko1.57101112113V. Stukalov2.251271031WSep 18 · 05:35K. Klymenko1.5771111123S. Semenets2.251188101LSep 14 · 11:50V. Mukhin2.3811511113K. Klymenko1.53511231WSep 14 · 10:50K. Klymenko1.53411511113O. Mytsyk2.3811311842
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