TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5117111412116118
Serhii Semenets
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:05 and never touched — 73.3% is still 73.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
73.3%
73.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Mytsyk above · Serhii Semenets below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 96 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 73.3%
96 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Mytsyk 5–2 Serhii Semenets Serhii Semenets has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:05What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mytsyk 1352 vs Semenets 1309
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mytsyk 60% vs Semenets 80%
Semenets
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mytsyk 60% vs Semenets 40%
Mytsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mytsyk -1 · Semenets +4
Semenets
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Semenets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMytsyk 1.33 / Semenets 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Mytsyk)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161587
Mytsyk1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 159 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it88% 71 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 117 of 150
Semenets3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMytsyk5wins
AwaySemenets2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderMytsyk leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMytsyk75%3 of 4
AwaySemenets33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mytsyk4Semenets3n = 7Mytsyk took 4 of 7
S2Mytsyk7Semenets0n = 7Mytsyk took 7 of 7
S3Mytsyk3Semenets4n = 7Semenets took 4 of 7
S4Mytsyk4Semenets2n = 6Mytsyk took 4 of 6
S5Mytsyk1Semenets2n = 3Semenets took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home343%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMytsykSemenetsM − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match42.934.9+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMytsykSemenetsBasisWin rate · lifetime540 / 1082 vs 420 / 83749.9%50.2%540 / 1082 vs 420 / 837Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMytsyk 1.33/Semenets 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk331111113S. Semenets238780
WSep 9 · 06:05O. Mytsyk42311116113S. Semenets3811381152
LSep 7 · 09:20O. Mytsyk47111196102S. Semenets46841111123
LAug 24 · 12:05O. Mytsyk528111211102S. Semenets46116143123
WAug 8 · 11:30O. Mytsyk4111118113S. Semenets32871161
WAug 6 · 06:30O. Mytsyk4311129113S. Semenets348101151
WNov 11 · 12:30O. Mytsyk4291111113S. Semenets25115451
O. Mytsyk10
LSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782
S. Semenets10
WSep 20 · 10:35S. Semenets2.25114411123M. Khalenko1.57811115102WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780
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