TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Serhii Semenets
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1184114111151210
Mykhailo Khalenko
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:47 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeMykhailo Khalenko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Semenets above · Mykhailo Khalenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 87 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Mykhailo Khalenko at 55.8%
87 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Semenets 26–22 Mykhailo Khalenko Mykhailo Khalenko has won 22 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:47What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Khalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-22 in 48
Semenets
Correct
gap of 4 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Semenets 1285 vs Khalenko 1334
Khalenko
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Semenets 60% vs Khalenko 80%
Khalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Semenets 30% vs Khalenko 70%
Khalenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Semenets +3 · Khalenko +2
Semenets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Khalenko) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khalenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSemenets 2.25 / Khalenko 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Khalenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161426
Semenets2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 44 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 45
Khalenko1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite75% won 47 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSemenets3wins
AwayKhalenko7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKhalenko leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSemenets60%3 of 5
AwayKhalenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Semenets5Khalenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Semenets3Khalenko7n = 10Khalenko took 7 of 10
S3Semenets7Khalenko3n = 10Semenets took 7 of 10
S4Semenets1Khalenko8n = 9Khalenko took 8 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSemenetsKhalenkoS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.340.0−3.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSemenetsKhalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 836 vs 183 / 35950.1%51%419 / 836 vs 183 / 359Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KhalenkoSemenets 2.25/Khalenko 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Khalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Semenets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets341111661M. Khalenko4381311113
WSep 9 · 08:35S. Semenets4211911113M. Khalenko27711541
LSep 4 · 19:00S. Semenets36811891M. Khalenko3811511113
LSep 3 · 10:35S. Semenets30512761M. Khalenko43111011113
LAug 24 · 10:35S. Semenets3611911052M. Khalenko50911811113
LAug 18 · 09:59S. Semenets34891161M. Khalenko4111118113
WAug 16 · 10:35S. Semenets331111113M. Khalenko237790
LJul 28 · 10:00S. Semenets32871161M. Khalenko3911116113
LJul 22 · 12:30S. Semenets4071211101M. Khalenko4611149123
WJul 11 · 10:00S. Semenets46124117123M. Khalenko501011811102
S. Semenets10
WSep 20 · 08:35V. Stukalov2.108135101S. Semenets1.67111111123WSep 20 · 06:35V. Mukhin1.501161111S. Semenets2.5013118113WSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123LSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 10:00S. Semenets3.753740O. Ovsiienko1.251111113LSep 19 · 08:00K. Klymenko1.50751212113S. Semenets2.501111101042LSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 05:00S. Skhabitskiy1.40911114133S. Semenets2.75114611112LSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:35S. Semenets2.509920V. Korniichuk1.501111113
M. Khalenko10
WSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113LSep 20 · 05:05V. Mukhin1.9111211113M. Khalenko1.80311681WSep 13 · 12:05S. Semenets2.001111661M. Khalenko1.7381311113WSep 13 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.5061111113D. Khavanskyi2.50117541WSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113WSep 13 · 06:35V. Stukalov2.209670M. Khalenko1.611111113WSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 9 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311121115113M. Khalenko2.0071451752LSep 9 · 10:35M. Khalenko1.57118115102D. Khavanskyi2.25911811123
Upcoming Matches
S. Semenets
M. Khalenko
Nothing scheduled
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