TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Denys Khavanskyi
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
311112117117––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:53 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDenys Khavanskyi above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 63 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 67.3%
63 points played in total.
H2H Denys Khavanskyi 1–3 Oleksandr Mytsyk Denys Khavanskyi has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Mytsyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Khavanskyi 1237 vs Mytsyk 1368
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 131 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Khavanskyi 60% vs Mytsyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Khavanskyi 60% vs Mytsyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Khavanskyi -1 · Mytsyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Khavanskyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKhavanskyi 2.63 / Mytsyk 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Mytsyk)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13162171
Khavanskyi2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 25 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back19% 6 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Mytsyk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite55% won 159 of 289
Up 2–0, closes it88% 71 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it78% 117 of 150
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKhavanskyi1wins
AwayMytsyk3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMytsyk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKhavanskyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMytsyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Khavanskyi1Mytsyk3n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S2Khavanskyi1Mytsyk3n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S3Khavanskyi1Mytsyk3n = 4Mytsyk took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricKhavanskyiMytsykK − MBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.039.5−9.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKhavanskyiMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 321 vs 540 / 108150.8%50%163 / 321 vs 540 / 1081Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykKhavanskyi 2.63/Mytsyk 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.3%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Khavanskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 11 · 12:05D. Khavanskyi173770O. Mytsyk331111113
WSep 9 · 07:05D. Khavanskyi53158127113O. Mytsyk521311101172
LOct 22 · 09:00D. Khavanskyi31411881O. Mytsyk4011711113
LOct 17 · 06:30D. Khavanskyi195860O. Mytsyk331111113
D. Khavanskyi10
LSep 20 · 09:05D. Khavanskyi2.38661291M. Khalenko1.53111110113WSep 20 · 07:35D. Khavanskyi1.831111113V. Stukalov1.837740LSep 20 · 05:35D. Khavanskyi1.67912612102S. Semenets2.1011101110123WSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153WSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113WSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 05:50V. Stukalov1.911111133D. Khavanskyi1.8085110LSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101WSep 16 · 11:20S. Hovorunets1.5381211982D. Khavanskyi2.381110311113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182WSep 18 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25211711112O. Mytsyk1.57116115133LSep 18 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.831141011112V. Korniichuk1.83811129133WSep 18 · 06:05V. Stukalov2.507740O. Mytsyk1.501111113WSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782LSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192
Upcoming Matches
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O. Mytsyk
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