TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13111012911115118
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Ponomarenko above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 101 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mytsyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1358 vs Mytsyk 1409
Mytsyk
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 20% vs Mytsyk 80%
Mytsyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 30% vs Mytsyk 70%
Mytsyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko +1 · Mytsyk +4
Mytsyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.83 / Mytsyk 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Mytsyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13166085
Ponomarenko1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Mytsyk1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime33 / 83 vs 538 / 107839.8%49.9%33 / 83 vs 538 / 1078Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykPonomarenko 1.83/Mytsyk 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ponomarenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Ponomarenko10
WSep 21 · 09:05D. Ponomarenko1.7311123113M. Stetsenko2.006101161LSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113LSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113LSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113LSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 21 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.50481181O. Mytsyk1.5011112113WSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk2.501111113M. Stetsenko1.509840WSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682LSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113LSep 20 · 07:05O. Mytsyk1.7378111142M. Khalenko2.00111189113WSep 20 · 06:05V. Stukalov3.0051111942O. Mytsyk1.36118811113WSep 18 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.441111113S. Semenets2.638780LSep 18 · 10:05K. Klymenko1.53811147113O. Mytsyk2.38119121182
Upcoming Matches
D. Ponomarenko
Nothing scheduled
O. Mytsyk
Event Chatroom
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