TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmytro Ponomarenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210311116––
Maksym Stetsenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:17 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Ponomarenko to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Ponomarenko above · Maksym Stetsenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Ponomarenko at 58.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Ponomarenko 2–0 Maksym Stetsenko Maksym Stetsenko has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ponomarenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ponomarenko 1345 vs Stetsenko 1380
Stetsenko
Wrong
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ponomarenko 0% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ponomarenko 30% vs Stetsenko 60%
Stetsenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ponomarenko -5 · Stetsenko -1
Ponomarenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ponomarenko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ponomarenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.73 / Stetsenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166207
Ponomarenko1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 15 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it86% 6 of 7
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Stetsenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 92 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back24% 29 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePonomarenko2wins
AwayStetsenko0wins
Ponomarenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoStetsenkoP − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match36.029.5+6.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoStetsenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime32 / 82 vs 442 / 85039%52%32 / 82 vs 442 / 850Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.73/Stetsenko 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 3 · 11:50D. Ponomarenko331111113M. Stetsenko259880
WAug 2 · 14:00D. Ponomarenko3911511123M. Stetsenko344119101
D. Ponomarenko10
WSep 21 · 10:05D. Ponomarenko1.831310911113O. Mytsyk1.83111211582LSep 21 · 07:35D. Ponomarenko2.001111081O. Ovsiienko1.7361112113LSep 21 · 05:35D. Ponomarenko2.38101311492S. Skhabitskiy1.531211611113LSep 20 · 19:00D. Ponomarenko2.10111040O. Lipeiko1.671312113LSep 20 · 17:00S. Skhabitskiy1.731114113D. Ponomarenko2.0081250LSep 20 · 14:59V. Nechai1.83101111113D. Ponomarenko1.83126981WAug 26 · 09:55A. Didyk2.2564100D. Ponomarenko1.571111123WAug 26 · 08:55D. Ponomarenko1.671111113A. Didyk2.104760LAug 26 · 07:55D. Ponomarenko1.83611111072V. Kheresko1.83118812113LAug 26 · 06:25D. Ponomarenko1.578680R. Mazur2.251111113
M. Stetsenko10
LSep 21 · 10:35S. Skhabitskiy2.001311113M. Stetsenko1.7311680LSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk2.501111113M. Stetsenko1.509840WSep 21 · 05:05V. Mukhin3.75117111032M. Stetsenko1.25611912113WSep 19 · 10:30M. Stetsenko1.801211113S. Skhabitskiy1.9110540LSep 19 · 09:00M. Stetsenko3.257119101K. Klymenko1.3311511123WSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:00M. Stetsenko1.2511811113S. Semenets3.75711731LSep 19 · 04:30M. Stetsenko1.83116471O. Ovsiienko1.8391111113WSep 17 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.8321111962M. Stetsenko1.83118811113WSep 17 · 10:50M. Stetsenko1.50611115113O. Mytsyk2.5011861192
Upcoming Matches
D. Ponomarenko
M. Stetsenko
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