TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711611711––
Serhii Kovalenko
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Mykhalchenko above · Serhii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 70 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 0–1 Serhii Kovalenko Volodymyr Mykhalchenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mykhalchenko 1178 vs Kovalenko 1168
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhalchenko 20% vs Kovalenko 40%
Kovalenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhalchenko 50% vs Kovalenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhalchenko -3 · Kovalenko -1
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mykhalchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhalchenko 1.80 / Kovalenko 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13161522
Mykhalchenko1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite74% won 46 of 62
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it87% 33 of 38
Kovalenko1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMykhalchenko0wins
AwayKovalenko1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKovalenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMykhalchenkoKovalenkoM − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match43.046.0−3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhalchenkoKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 220 vs 29 / 6956.4%42%124 / 220 vs 29 / 69Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.137.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhalchenko 1.80/Kovalenko 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 22 · 06:50V. Mykhalchenko4397111152S. Kovalenko46111176113
V. Mykhalchenko10
LSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932LSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko1.2511613113V. Mykhalchenko3.758111111LSep 20 · 11:10O. Stopin1.501111113V. Mykhalchenko2.507360WSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192LSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580LSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791WSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111
S. Kovalenko10
WSep 20 · 17:10V. Kondratenko1.40119971S. Kovalenko2.7581111113LSep 20 · 14:40O. Stopin1.6511102S. Kovalenko2.05480LSep 20 · 12:40Y. Korotin1.50118118143S. Kovalenko2.50511711122WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko1.3611125113K. Vernudin3.006101161LAug 22 · 10:20O. Ponomarenko1.8311511113S. Kovalenko1.83711691LAug 22 · 09:20S. Kovalenko1.5711514792M. Tkalich2.254111211113WAug 22 · 08:20D. Kunchurov2.388790S. Kovalenko1.531111113WAug 22 · 06:50S. Kovalenko1.80111176113V. Mykhalchenko1.9197111152LJul 16 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331111113S. Kovalenko3.259870
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