TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 22Finished
Dmytro Kunchurov
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711911––––
Serhii Kovalenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kovalenko to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Kunchurov above · Serhii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Serhii Kovalenko at 60.8%
57 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kunchurov 888 vs Kovalenko 1181
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kunchurov 20% vs Kovalenko 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kunchurov 30% vs Kovalenko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kunchurov -4 · Kovalenko +1
Kunchurov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKunchurov 2.38 / Kovalenko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Kovalenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472215
Kunchurov2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 34 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back13% 10 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Kovalenko1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite42% won 5 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKunchurovKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 178 vs 26 / 6337.6%41.3%67 / 178 vs 26 / 63Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKunchurov 2.38/Kovalenko 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kovalenko won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 12 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.10117711113D. Kunchurov1.6761111892WSep 12 · 10:00M. Tkalich2.108760D. Kunchurov1.671111113LSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131LSep 12 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.44101111113D. Kunchurov2.63126871LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162
S. Kovalenko10
WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko1.3611125113K. Vernudin3.006101161LAug 22 · 10:20O. Ponomarenko1.8311511113S. Kovalenko1.83711691LAug 22 · 09:20S. Kovalenko1.5711514792M. Tkalich2.254111211113WAug 22 · 06:50S. Kovalenko1.80111176113V. Mykhalchenko1.9197111152LJul 16 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331111113S. Kovalenko3.259870LJul 16 · 10:05S. Kovalenko2.206650S. Skhabitskiy1.611111113LJul 16 · 09:05S. Kovalenko2.0061161252K. Klymenko1.731171110113LJul 16 · 07:35S. Kovalenko1.8311118452M. Khalenko1.83891111113LJul 16 · 05:35S. Kovalenko1.83121211462D. Novakov1.831410811113
Upcoming Matches
D. Kunchurov
Nothing scheduled
S. Kovalenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.