TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116859
Played Sep 12Finished
Mykhailo Mykhailenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711711118119
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:08 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 60.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 8–8 Dmytro Kunchurov Dead even across their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 21:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kunchurov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-8 in 16
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 821 vs Kunchurov 928
Kunchurov
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 60% vs Kunchurov 20%
Mykhailenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Kunchurov 60%
Kunchurov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko +2 · Kunchurov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kunchurov) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 2.10 / Kunchurov 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Kunchurov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13116859
Mykhailenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 19 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back13% 7 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 38
Kunchurov1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite59% won 35 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it71% 24 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMykhailenko5wins
AwayKunchurov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenko50%4 of 8
AwayKunchurovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko8Kunchurov2n = 10Mykhailenko took 8 of 10
S2Mykhailenko4Kunchurov6n = 10Kunchurov took 6 of 10
S3Mykhailenko6Kunchurov4n = 10Mykhailenko took 6 of 10
S4Mykhailenko3Kunchurov3n = 6split evenly
S5Mykhailenko1Kunchurov3n = 4Kunchurov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoKunchurovM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.6+2.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 92 vs 81 / 21026.1%38.6%24 / 92 vs 81 / 210Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match31.435.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovMykhailenko 2.10/Kunchurov 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mykhailenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko—11811992D. Kunchurov—911711113
WAug 29 · 09:00M. Mykhailenko—1111133D. Kunchurov—75110
LAug 28 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko—11881162D. Kunchurov—711112113
WAug 23 · 12:30M. Mykhailenko—9111111113D. Kunchurov—11139392
WAug 18 · 14:10M. Mykhailenko—11113113D. Kunchurov—481181
WAug 15 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko—1115113D. Kunchurov—61390
WJul 19 · 08:35M. Mykhailenko—1111113D. Kunchurov—6770
LJul 12 · 11:10M. Mykhailenko—11911652D. Kunchurov—811811113
LJun 20 · 09:00M. Mykhailenko—101040D. Kunchurov—1212113
LJun 4 · 14:40M. Mykhailenko—1111841D. Kunchurov—91311113
M. Mykhailenko10
WSep 12 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.179650M. Mykhailenko4.501111113WSep 12 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.001112117113M. Tkalich1.1491481182LSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.1061211133S. Kuzko1.6711108111LSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 09:00M. Zaiats1.361171111112M. Mykhailenko3.00811213133LSep 5 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko5.00711651M. Tkalich1.1411911113LSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko9.00771181V. Mykhalchenko1.0411117113LAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113
D. Kunchurov10
WSep 12 · 10:00M. Tkalich2.108760D. Kunchurov1.671111113LSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111LSep 12 · 06:30S. Kuzko3.4091111153D. Kunchurov1.301138131LSep 12 · 04:30O. Ponomarenko1.44101111113D. Kunchurov2.63126871LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.