TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Aug 22Finished
Serhii Kovalenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161210511116––
Kyryl Vernudin
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kovalenko to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Kovalenko above · Kyryl Vernudin below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Kovalenko at 68.8%
72 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kovalenko 1–0 Kyryl Vernudin Kyryl Vernudin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kovalenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kovalenko 1164 vs Vernudin 841
Kovalenko
Correct
both rated, 322 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kovalenko 40% vs Vernudin 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kovalenko 20% vs Vernudin 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kovalenko -2 · Vernudin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.36 / Vernudin 3.00
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Kovalenko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12472160
Kovalenko1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite42% won 5 of 12
Vernudin3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 4 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKovalenko1wins
AwayVernudin0wins
Kovalenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKovalenkoVernudinK − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match39.033.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoVernudinBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 67 vs 6 / 2641.8%23.1%28 / 67 vs 6 / 26Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.635.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoKovalenko 1.36/Vernudin 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko3911125113K. Vernudin336101161
S. Kovalenko10
WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113LAug 22 · 10:20O. Ponomarenko1.8311511113S. Kovalenko1.83711691LAug 22 · 09:20S. Kovalenko1.5711514792M. Tkalich2.254111211113WAug 22 · 08:20D. Kunchurov2.388790S. Kovalenko1.531111113WAug 22 · 06:50S. Kovalenko1.80111176113V. Mykhalchenko1.9197111152LJul 16 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331111113S. Kovalenko3.259870LJul 16 · 10:05S. Kovalenko2.206650S. Skhabitskiy1.611111113LJul 16 · 09:05S. Kovalenko2.0061161252K. Klymenko1.731171110113LJul 16 · 07:35S. Kovalenko1.8311118452M. Khalenko1.83891111113LJul 16 · 05:35S. Kovalenko1.83121211462D. Novakov1.831410811113
K. Vernudin10
WSep 5 · 10:30M. Zaiats1.6711611972K. Vernudin2.10911711113LSep 5 · 09:30K. Vernudin4.337770V. Mykhalchenko1.201111113WSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 07:00K. Vernudin1.22101111113M. Mykhailenko4.00127871WSep 5 · 05:00K. Vernudin1.9171111113M. Tkalich1.80116961WAug 29 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.503980K. Vernudin1.501111113WAug 29 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.50114951K. Vernudin2.5091111113LAug 29 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.221111113K. Vernudin4.008990WAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 04:30D. Kunchurov1.83111115113K. Vernudin1.83931771
Upcoming Matches
S. Kovalenko
K. Vernudin
Nothing scheduled
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