TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Jul 16Finished
Serhii Kovalenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141210118411611
Daniil Novakov
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingSerhii Kovalenko above · Daniil Novakov below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11
99 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kovalenko 1–2 Daniil Novakov Serhii Kovalenko has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Novakov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novakov form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovalenko 1.83 / Novakov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Novakov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12234231
Kovalenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Novakov1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKovalenko1wins
AwayNovakov2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderNovakov leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovalenko1Novakov2n = 3Novakov took 2 of 3
S2Kovalenko1Novakov2n = 3Novakov took 2 of 3
S3Kovalenko3Novakov0n = 3Kovalenko took 3 of 3
S4Kovalenko1Novakov2n = 3Novakov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricKovalenkoNovakovK − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match42.042.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovalenkoNovakovBasisWin rate · lifetime25 / 57 vs 106 / 24443.9%43.4%25 / 57 vs 106 / 244Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NovakovKovalenko 1.83/Novakov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Novakov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Novakov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJan 25 · 12:35S. Kovalenko4291112732D. Novakov511181011113
LJan 17 · 09:35S. Kovalenko4211131171D. Novakov4313154113
WJan 10 · 08:05S. Kovalenko4212811113D. Novakov321011651
S. Kovalenko10
WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko1.3611125113K. Vernudin3.006101161LAug 22 · 10:20O. Ponomarenko1.8311511113S. Kovalenko1.83711691LAug 22 · 09:20S. Kovalenko1.5711514792M. Tkalich2.254111211113WAug 22 · 08:20D. Kunchurov2.388790S. Kovalenko1.531111113WAug 22 · 06:50S. Kovalenko1.80111176113V. Mykhalchenko1.9197111152LJul 16 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331111113S. Kovalenko3.259870LJul 16 · 10:05S. Kovalenko2.206650S. Skhabitskiy1.611111113LJul 16 · 09:05S. Kovalenko2.0061161252K. Klymenko1.731171110113LJul 16 · 07:35S. Kovalenko1.8311118452M. Khalenko1.83891111113
D. Novakov10
LAug 2 · 18:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.7311119113D. Novakov2.00951161WAug 2 · 17:00D. Novakov2.001111113D. Ponomarenko1.734780LAug 2 · 16:00D. Novakov2.6311860M. Stetsenko1.441311113WAug 2 · 14:30D. Novakov2.501111123A. Kurtenko1.5067100LAug 2 · 12:30D. Novakov3.40101180O. Ovsiienko1.301213113LJul 27 · 11:50S. Skhabitskiy1.441111113D. Novakov2.634950WJul 27 · 10:50D. Novakov2.1011411143O. Mytsyk1.677114121WJul 27 · 09:50D. Novakov1.8311912113V. Melnykov1.837111091WJul 27 · 08:20D. Novakov2.0011711113V. Smyk1.73811791LJul 27 · 06:20D. Novakov2.503990M. Stetsenko1.501111113
Upcoming Matches
S. Kovalenko
D. Novakov
Nothing scheduled
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