TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1158111178111412
Serhii Kovalenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:36 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Serhii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 98 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 62.5%
98 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 1–0 Serhii Kovalenko Serhii Kovalenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:36What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1264 vs Kovalenko 1188
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 40% vs Kovalenko 60%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 50% vs Kovalenko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +2 · Kovalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Korotin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovalenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.50 / Kovalenko 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Korotin)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161347
Korotin1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 11 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it75% 6 of 8
Kovalenko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKorotin1wins
AwayKovalenko0wins
Korotin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKorotinKovalenkoKorotin − KovalenkoBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.018.0+15.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 206 vs 29 / 6848.5%42.7%100 / 206 vs 29 / 68Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.637.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinKorotin 1.50/Kovalenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 22 · 15:40Y. Korotin331111113S. Kovalenko187650
Y. Korotin10
WSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163WSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113WSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102LSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113
S. Kovalenko10
WSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WAug 22 · 12:20S. Kovalenko1.3611125113K. Vernudin3.006101161LAug 22 · 10:20O. Ponomarenko1.8311511113S. Kovalenko1.83711691LAug 22 · 09:20S. Kovalenko1.5711514792M. Tkalich2.254111211113WAug 22 · 08:20D. Kunchurov2.388790S. Kovalenko1.531111113WAug 22 · 06:50S. Kovalenko1.80111176113V. Mykhalchenko1.9197111152LJul 16 · 11:05O. Miklukha1.331111113S. Kovalenko3.259870LJul 16 · 10:05S. Kovalenko2.206650S. Skhabitskiy1.611111113LJul 16 · 09:05S. Kovalenko2.0061161252K. Klymenko1.731171110113LJul 16 · 07:35S. Kovalenko1.8311118452M. Khalenko1.83891111113
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