TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Vasily Kondratenko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
117711118511911
Yevhenii Korotin
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Korotin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVasily Kondratenko above · Yevhenii Korotin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Yevhenii Korotin at 54.0%
91 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Kondratenko 2–2 Yevhenii Korotin Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:54What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Korotin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kondratenko 1212 vs Korotin 1254
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kondratenko 20% vs Korotin 40%
Korotin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kondratenko 10% vs Korotin 50%
Korotin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kondratenko +1 · Korotin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korotin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Korotin form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKondratenko 1.83 / Korotin 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Korotin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161551
Kondratenko1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Korotin1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 16)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKondratenko2wins
AwayKorotin2wins
1 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kondratenko2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
S2Kondratenko2Korotin2n = 4split evenly
S3Kondratenko1Korotin3n = 4Korotin took 3 of 4
S4Kondratenko3Korotin0n = 3Kondratenko took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricKondratenkoKorotinKondratenko − KorotinBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match38.039.0−1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKondratenkoKorotinBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 552 vs 99 / 20544%48.3%243 / 552 vs 99 / 205Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinKondratenko 1.83/Korotin 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 16 · 10:20V. Kondratenko165560Y. Korotin331111113
WAug 3 · 08:00V. Kondratenko4291111113Y. Korotin33117691
WMar 15 · 14:40V. Kondratenko4611159113Y. Korotin397131181
LMar 5 · 16:40V. Kondratenko4811961392Y. Korotin517111111113
V. Kondratenko10
WSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101LSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113LSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151LSep 16 · 06:50V. Kondratenko1.33111111972S. Semenets3.25741311113LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481LAug 28 · 06:05V. Kondratenko2.20116691O. Mytsyk1.6181111113LAug 27 · 11:00O. Mytsyk1.67511119113V. Kondratenko2.1011261172
Y. Korotin10
WSep 20 · 12:40Y. Korotin1.50118118143S. Kovalenko2.50511711122WSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113WSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113WSep 15 · 13:40Y. Korotin2.75138911123S. Hovorunets1.401111118102LSep 15 · 12:10Y. Korotin1.8361111942S. Semenets1.83119911113WSep 15 · 10:40Y. Korotin2.751111123D. Khavanskyi1.4076100
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