TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Varchenko
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1186111311111––
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 75.0% is still 75.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Varchenko to win
75.0%
75.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Varchenko above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 72 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Volodymyr Varchenko at 75.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Varchenko 3–0 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Volodymyr Mykhalchenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:46What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Varchenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Varchenko
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Varchenko 1159 vs Mykhalchenko 1161
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Varchenko 20% vs Mykhalchenko 40%
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Varchenko 60% vs Mykhalchenko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Varchenko -1 · Mykhalchenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Varchenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVarchenko 1.25 / Mykhalchenko 3.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Varchenko)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13161413
Varchenko1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 23 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Mykhalchenko3.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 15 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVarchenko3wins
AwayMykhalchenko0wins
Varchenko leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVarchenko100%3 of 3
AwayMykhalchenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Varchenko3Mykhalchenko0n = 3Varchenko took 3 of 3
S2Varchenko2Mykhalchenko1n = 3Varchenko took 2 of 3
S3Varchenko3Mykhalchenko0n = 3Varchenko took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVarchenkoMykhalchenkoV − MBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set30+3of 3Avg pointsper match35.722.7+13.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVarchenkoMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 222 vs 124 / 21845.1%56.9%100 / 222 vs 124 / 218Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.236.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VarchenkoVarchenko 1.25/Mykhalchenko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.8%
Varchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 19 · 06:20V. Varchenko361411113V. Mykhalchenko1912520
WAug 9 · 10:05V. Varchenko331111113V. Mykhalchenko198830
WOct 4 · 12:05V. Varchenko3811511113V. Mykhalchenko30911731
V. Varchenko10
LSep 20 · 10:40V. Varchenko1.57871151S. Kovalenko2.2511112113WSep 19 · 12:50V. Kucheriavyi1.6771040V. Varchenko2.101112113LSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113LSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880LSep 19 · 07:20V. Stukalov2.38116913113V. Varchenko1.53911111152WSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 13 · 11:05V. Stukalov1.8361170V. Varchenko1.831113113WSep 13 · 10:05V. Varchenko2.63441211133S. Semenets1.441111104112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540WSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382
V. Mykhalchenko10
LSep 20 · 11:10O. Stopin1.501111113V. Mykhalchenko2.507360WSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192LSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580LSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791WSep 12 · 08:30V. Mykhalchenko1.2871111133D. Kunchurov3.501166111WSep 12 · 07:00V. Mykhalchenko1.051115113M. Mykhailenko8.5051350WSep 12 · 05:00V. Mykhalchenko1.4011912113M. Tkalich2.758111061
Upcoming Matches
V. Varchenko
V. Mykhalchenko
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