TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155138
Played Sep 19Finished
Vadym Kucheriavyi
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111012411––––
Volodymyr Varchenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 55.4% is still 55.4%
Graded at full timeVadym Kucheriavyi to win
55.4%
55.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVadym Kucheriavyi above · Volodymyr Varchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 55 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Vadym Kucheriavyi at 55.4%
55 points played in total.
H2H Vadym Kucheriavyi 3–4 Volodymyr Varchenko Vadym Kucheriavyi has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:13What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucheriavyi 1200 vs Varchenko 1155
Kucheriavyi
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Varchenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucheriavyi 40% vs Varchenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucheriavyi -1 · Varchenko -3
Varchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kucheriavyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucheriavyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucheriavyi 1.67 / Varchenko 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Kucheriavyi)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155138
Kucheriavyi1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite46% won 25 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it64% 14 of 22
Varchenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 15 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKucheriavyi3wins
AwayVarchenko4wins
4 of 7 to a deciderVarchenko leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucheriavyin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVarchenko50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucheriavyi1Varchenko6n = 7Varchenko took 6 of 7
S2Kucheriavyi4Varchenko3n = 7Kucheriavyi took 4 of 7
S3Kucheriavyi2Varchenko5n = 7Varchenko took 5 of 7
S4Kucheriavyi5Varchenko1n = 6Kucheriavyi took 5 of 6
S5Kucheriavyi2Varchenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKucheriavyiVarchenkoK − VBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match39.345.1−5.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucheriavyiVarchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime48 / 118 vs 102 / 22940.7%44.5%48 / 118 vs 102 / 229Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucheriavyiKucheriavyi 1.67/Varchenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Kucheriavyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Varchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 13 · 07:35V. Kucheriavyi47411111382V. Varchenko551191311113
WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi42411411123V. Varchenko49119118102
WAug 22 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi44411612113V. Varchenko48117111092
LAug 16 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi186930V. Varchenko331111113
LJun 14 · 10:05V. Kucheriavyi51119612132V. Varchenko525111110153
LMay 9 · 05:30V. Kucheriavyi29931161V. Varchenko4211119113
WApr 19 · 16:40V. Kucheriavyi4491113113V. Varchenko371171181
V. Kucheriavyi10
LSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192WSep 19 · 08:50V. Stukalov2.251110471V. Kucheriavyi1.5781211113LSep 19 · 07:50V. Kucheriavyi1.4464110D. Khavanskyi2.631111133LSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 13 · 11:35V. Kucheriavyi1.441211113D. Khavanskyi2.6310830WSep 13 · 09:35V. Stukalov1.9111510V. Kucheriavyi1.801311113LSep 13 · 08:35V. Kucheriavyi1.61861141M. Khalenko2.2011119113LSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 06:05V. Kucheriavyi2.001061191S. Semenets1.7312119113WSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102
V. Varchenko10
LSep 19 · 11:20V. Varchenko1.6111550D. Khavanskyi2.201311113LSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880LSep 19 · 07:20V. Stukalov2.38116913113V. Varchenko1.53911111152WSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 13 · 11:05V. Stukalov1.8361170V. Varchenko1.831113113WSep 13 · 10:05V. Varchenko2.63441211133S. Semenets1.441111104112WSep 13 · 09:05V. Varchenko1.911111113D. Khavanskyi1.804540WSep 13 · 07:35V. Varchenko2.381191311113V. Kucheriavyi1.53411111382LSep 13 · 05:35V. Varchenko2.20127981M. Khalenko1.61101111113LSep 5 · 12:05V. Kucheriavyi1.61411411123V. Varchenko2.20119118102
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.