Vasily Kondratenko vs Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka Cup

Played Sep 20Finished

Vasily Kondratenko

Home

1.73

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

11810121315119103

Volodymyr Mykhalchenko

Away

2.00

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Lost last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Vasily Kondratenko to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingVasily Kondratenko above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 13-15

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 10-3

Point 102 set 5, 10-3 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 54.0%

102 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 20:14

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.73 (54%)

Kondratenko

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kondratenko 1225 vs Mykhalchenko 1148

Kondratenko

Correct

both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kondratenko 40% vs Mykhalchenko 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kondratenko 20% vs Mykhalchenko 60%

Mykhalchenko

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kondratenko +1 · Mykhalchenko -2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kondratenko)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kondratenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKondratenko 1.73 / Mykhalchenko 2.00

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Kondratenko)+0.3pp

Setka Cup · #13161238

Kondratenko1.73

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite60% won 76 of 126

Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36

Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67

Mykhalchenko2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog41% won 15 of 37

Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKondratenkoMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 549 vs 124 / 21944.3%56.6%243 / 549 vs 124 / 219Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.0per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kondratenko

Kondratenko 1.73/Mykhalchenko 2.00

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Kondratenko · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Kondratenko won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

V. Kondratenko10