TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleh Stopin
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1177114111113––
Vasily Kondratenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeVasily Kondratenko to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Stopin above · Vasily Kondratenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 75 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Vasily Kondratenko at 66.0%
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Stopin 0–2 Vasily Kondratenko Oleh Stopin has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kondratenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Stopin 1214 vs Kondratenko 1202
Stopin
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stopin 40% vs Kondratenko 20%
Stopin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stopin 60% vs Kondratenko 10%
Stopin
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stopin +1 · Kondratenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kondratenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kondratenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStopin 3.00 / Kondratenko 1.36
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kondratenko)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13160981
Stopin3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 15 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back15% 5 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Kondratenko1.36
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 76 of 126
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it81% 54 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeStopin0wins
AwayKondratenko2wins
Kondratenko leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricStopinKondratenkoS − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match27.537.0−9.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStopinKondratenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 275 vs 242 / 54852.7%44.2%145 / 275 vs 242 / 548Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KondratenkoStopin 3.00/Kondratenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66%
Kondratenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kondratenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 26 · 14:40O. Stopin32117861V. Kondratenko3961111113
LApr 26 · 05:35O. Stopin23114351V. Kondratenko3521111113
O. Stopin10
WSep 20 · 14:40O. Stopin1.6511102S. Kovalenko2.05480WSep 20 · 11:10O. Stopin1.501111113V. Mykhalchenko2.507360LSep 19 · 12:20O. Stopin2.10911116132D. Khavanskyi1.67113511153LSep 19 · 10:20V. Stukalov1.5711118133O. Stopin2.258811111WSep 19 · 09:20O. Stopin1.831111113V. Varchenko1.836880LSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580WSep 19 · 06:50O. Stopin2.631211113V. Kucheriavyi1.4410680WSep 5 · 11:35O. Stopin1.915111011133S. Semenets1.80115126112LSep 5 · 09:35V. Mukhin1.201111113O. Stopin4.339760WSep 5 · 08:35O. Stopin2.2081211113V. Varchenko1.611110821
V. Kondratenko10
WSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932LSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 12:20V. Kondratenko1.6711916123D. Khavanskyi2.1041114101LSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 09:20V. Kondratenko1.737101161S. Hovorunets2.0011126113LSep 16 · 08:20V. Stukalov2.1031111173V. Kondratenko1.671168151LSep 16 · 06:50V. Kondratenko1.33111111972S. Semenets3.25741311113LAug 28 · 09:35K. Klymenko1.509101111113V. Kondratenko2.5011127482LAug 28 · 08:35V. Kondratenko2.00813100S. Skhabitskiy1.731115123LAug 28 · 07:35V. Stukalov2.2071111113V. Kondratenko1.61116481
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