TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13160544
Played Sep 19Finished
Martin Mastera
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Oldrich Stehlik
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMartin Mastera above · Oldrich Stehlik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Mastera 11–17 Oldrich Stehlik Martin Mastera has won 11 of their 28 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Mastera beat Stehlik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stehlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMastera 2.00 / Stehlik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stehlik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13160544
Mastera2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 52 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back27% 21 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Stehlik1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 39 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 27 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMastera5wins
AwayStehlik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMastera100%4 of 4
AwayStehlik83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mastera4Stehlik6n = 10Stehlik took 6 of 10
S2Mastera6Stehlik4n = 10Mastera took 6 of 10
S3Mastera5Stehlik5n = 10split evenly
S4Mastera4Stehlik3n = 7Mastera took 4 of 7
S5Mastera2Stehlik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMasteraStehlikM − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.1+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasteraStehlikBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 343 vs 135 / 25049.6%54%170 / 343 vs 135 / 250Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikMastera 2.00/Stehlik 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Stehlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 19 · 16:05M. Mastera331111113O. Stehlik229850
WAug 5 · 17:21M. Mastera47511119113O. Stehlik4511691182
LAug 5 · 14:05M. Mastera471011511102O. Stehlik51129117123
WAug 2 · 18:05M. Mastera491110611113O. Stehlik3811211682
LJul 16 · 15:35M. Mastera47911101162O. Stehlik49119126113
WJul 15 · 14:35M. Mastera3911116113O. Stehlik28551171
LJul 9 · 14:35M. Mastera371361171O. Stehlik4415117113
LJul 4 · 07:35M. Mastera2857160O. Stehlik401111183
LJul 3 · 17:50M. Mastera379711101O. Stehlik4111117123
WJul 3 · 15:35M. Mastera331111113O. Stehlik236980
M. Mastera10
WSep 19 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.739850M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 19 · 15:35O. Polak1.611111113M. Mastera2.206960LSep 19 · 14:35M. Mastera1.40117591A. Veliiev2.7561111113WSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113
O. Stehlik10
LSep 19 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.739850M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113LSep 19 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.80811671O. Polak1.9111811113LSep 17 · 21:33O. Stehlik2.50117691T. Bartik1.5051111113WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113
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