TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12366901
Played Aug 5Finished
Oldrich Stehlik
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115611911119811
Martin Mastera
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOldrich Stehlik above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Stehlik 17–9 Martin Mastera Martin Mastera has won 9 of their 26 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Stehlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStehlik 1.80 / Mastera 1.91
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Stehlik)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12366901
Stehlik1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Mastera1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 36 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStehlik7wins
AwayMastera3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStehlik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStehlik100%6 of 6
AwayMastera100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stehlik6Mastera3n = 9Stehlik took 6 of 9
S2Stehlik5Mastera4n = 9Stehlik took 5 of 9
S3Stehlik5Mastera4n = 9Stehlik took 5 of 9
S4Stehlik3Mastera3n = 6split evenly
S5Stehlik2Mastera1n = 3Stehlik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStehlikMasteraS − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.836.4+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStehlikMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime131 / 242 vs 144 / 29154.1%49.5%131 / 242 vs 144 / 291Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikStehlik 1.80/Mastera 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mastera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik51129117123M. Mastera471011511102
LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik3811211682M. Mastera491110611113
LJul 15 · 14:35O. Stehlik28551171M. Mastera3911116113
WJul 9 · 14:35O. Stehlik4415117113M. Mastera371361171
WJul 4 · 07:35O. Stehlik401111183M. Mastera2857160
WJul 3 · 17:50O. Stehlik4111117123M. Mastera379711101
LJul 3 · 15:35O. Stehlik236980M. Mastera331111113
WJun 13 · 10:35O. Stehlik331111113M. Mastera188370
WJun 13 · 10:00O. Stehlik511110811113M. Mastera4051211482
O. Stehlik10
WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102LAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122LAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113LAug 2 · 19:05O. Stehlik2.107760D. Lengal1.671111113LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik1.8011211682M. Mastera1.911110611113
M. Mastera10
WSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102WAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik1.8011211682M. Mastera1.911110611113
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