TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12365107
Played Aug 5Finished
Oldrich Stehlik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
12109111157111210
Martin Mastera
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:45 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Mastera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOldrich Stehlik above · Martin Mastera below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Martin Mastera at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Stehlik 16–9 Martin Mastera Martin Mastera has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:45What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Stehlik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Stehlik
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stehlik 1739 vs Mastera 1685
Stehlik
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stehlik 0% vs Mastera 40%
Mastera
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stehlik 40% vs Mastera 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stehlik -5 · Mastera +2
Stehlik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Stehlik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStehlik 1.73 / Mastera 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Stehlik)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12365107
Stehlik1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 45 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Mastera2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 36 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back21% 13 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStehlik6wins
AwayMastera4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderStehlik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStehlik83.3%5 of 6
AwayMastera100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stehlik6Mastera3n = 9Stehlik took 6 of 9
S2Stehlik6Mastera3n = 9Stehlik took 6 of 9
S3Stehlik4Mastera5n = 9Mastera took 5 of 9
S4Stehlik3Mastera3n = 6split evenly
S5Stehlik1Mastera2n = 3Mastera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStehlikMasteraS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set63+3of 9Avg pointsper match38.236.6+1.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStehlikMasteraBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 239 vs 143 / 28854.4%49.7%130 / 239 vs 143 / 288Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikStehlik 1.73/Mastera 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stehlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik3811211682M. Mastera491110611113
LJul 15 · 14:35O. Stehlik28551171M. Mastera3911116113
WJul 9 · 14:35O. Stehlik4415117113M. Mastera371361171
WJul 4 · 07:35O. Stehlik401111183M. Mastera2857160
WJul 3 · 17:50O. Stehlik4111117123M. Mastera379711101
LJul 3 · 15:35O. Stehlik236980M. Mastera331111113
WJun 13 · 10:35O. Stehlik331111113M. Mastera188370
WJun 13 · 10:00O. Stehlik511110811113M. Mastera4051211482
LJun 13 · 06:35O. Stehlik46111168102M. Mastera48861111123
O. Stehlik10
WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113LAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122LAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113LAug 2 · 19:05O. Stehlik2.107760D. Lengal1.671111113LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik1.8011211682M. Mastera1.911110611113
M. Mastera10
WSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113WAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113WAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik1.8011211682M. Mastera1.911110611113
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