TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12352902
Played Aug 2Finished
Filip Karel
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111181178111412
Oldrich Stehlik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingFilip Karel above · Oldrich Stehlik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 101 set 5, 14-12
101 points played in total.
H2H Filip Karel 9–6 Oldrich Stehlik Oldrich Stehlik has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Karel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stehlik form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKarel 1.83 / Stehlik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Karel)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #12352902
Karel1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Stehlik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKarel4wins
AwayStehlik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderStehlik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKarel66.7%4 of 6
AwayStehlik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Karel6Stehlik4n = 10Karel took 6 of 10
S2Karel4Stehlik6n = 10Stehlik took 6 of 10
S3Karel4Stehlik6n = 10Stehlik took 6 of 10
S4Karel6Stehlik2n = 8Karel took 6 of 8
S5Karel1Stehlik4n = 5Stehlik took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKarelStehlikK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.7+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKarelStehlikBasisWin rate · lifetime74 / 135 vs 130 / 23854.8%54.6%74 / 135 vs 130 / 238Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KarelKarel 1.83/Stehlik 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Karel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Karel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 20:05F. Karel331111113O. Stehlik259880
WJul 24 · 17:44F. Karel4111811113O. Stehlik35711891
LJul 24 · 14:05F. Karel3711391132O. Stehlik39411112113
LJul 16 · 17:50F. Karel4779111192O. Stehlik48111196113
LJul 16 · 14:35F. Karel45114121082O. Stehlik517111012113
WMay 23 · 20:35F. Karel4211119113O. Stehlik23621141
LMay 16 · 13:15F. Karel34711971O. Stehlik4011711113
LMay 16 · 11:35F. Karel207580O. Stehlik331111113
WMay 13 · 18:35F. Karel49117911113O. Stehlik3761111812
LMay 11 · 11:35F. Karel4191181122O. Stehlik46115118113
F. Karel10
WSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113LSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113WSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781WSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232LSep 2 · 10:05F. Karel1.537590J. Ruzicka2.381111113LAug 31 · 17:09F. Karel1.611113971M. Kucera2.2091511113WAug 31 · 16:05F. Karel1.7311611113M. Kucera2.00911781
O. Stehlik10
WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102LAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113LAug 2 · 19:05O. Stehlik2.107760D. Lengal1.671111113LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik1.8011211682M. Mastera1.911110611113
Upcoming Matches
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O. Stehlik
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