TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13145285
Played Sep 17Finished
Tomas Bartik
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1156111012119711
Oldrich Stehlik
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:32 and never touched — 64.9% is still 64.9%
Graded at full timeTomas Bartik to win
64.9%
64.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Bartik above · Oldrich Stehlik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 93 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Bartik at 64.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Bartik 14–15 Oldrich Stehlik Tomas Bartik has won 14 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Bartik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-15 in 29
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bartik 1687 vs Stehlik 1744
Stehlik
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bartik 60% vs Stehlik 40%
Bartik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bartik 50% vs Stehlik 20%
Bartik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bartik +1 · Stehlik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Bartik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBartik 1.44 / Stehlik 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Bartik)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13145285
Bartik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 77 of 141
Up 2–0, closes it98% 42 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it77% 60 of 78
Stehlik2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 19 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back24% 6 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBartik5wins
AwayStehlik5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartik80%4 of 5
AwayStehlik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bartik5Stehlik5n = 10split evenly
S2Bartik6Stehlik4n = 10Bartik took 6 of 10
S3Bartik8Stehlik2n = 10Bartik took 8 of 10
S4Bartik3Stehlik4n = 7Stehlik took 4 of 7
S5Bartik0Stehlik3n = 3Stehlik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartikStehlikB − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.0+2.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartikStehlikBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 314 vs 132 / 24458.9%54.1%185 / 314 vs 132 / 244Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartikBartik 1.44/Stehlik 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Bartik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stehlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 19 · 12:35T. Bartik341112113O. Stehlik2691070
WJun 12 · 13:05T. Bartik331111113O. Stehlik268990
LJun 12 · 10:35T. Bartik4411116792O. Stehlik50891111113
LJun 7 · 18:35T. Bartik348101151O. Stehlik3911125113
WJun 1 · 12:35T. Bartik3811511113O. Stehlik26511641
LMay 25 · 10:35T. Bartik4151111682O. Stehlik42115411113
LMay 23 · 19:35T. Bartik2678110O. Stehlik351111133
WMay 17 · 21:40T. Bartik4171111123O. Stehlik291153101
WMay 17 · 20:05T. Bartik4211911113O. Stehlik34711791
LMay 13 · 20:05T. Bartik51111311792O. Stehlik531311711113
T. Bartik10
WSep 17 · 18:05T. Bartik1.40111187113T. Trnka2.7597111192LSep 14 · 17:40T. Bartik1.51131191192M. Kucera2.35153116113WSep 14 · 16:05T. Bartik1.5711185113M. Kucera2.256161131WSep 14 · 15:05T. Bartik1.501112113T. Beran2.5071030LSep 14 · 14:05T. Bartik1.408111110102T. Trnka2.75118712123LSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113WSep 6 · 15:35T. Trnka2.63791181T. Bartik1.4411116113LSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 2 · 13:08T. Bartik1.53117111182J. Ruzicka2.38611138113
O. Stehlik10
WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102LAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122LAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113LAug 2 · 19:05O. Stehlik2.107760D. Lengal1.671111113LAug 2 · 18:05O. Stehlik1.8011211682M. Mastera1.911110611113LJul 24 · 17:44O. Stehlik1.67711891F. Karel2.1011811113
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