TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12295913
Played Jul 24Finished
Oldrich Stehlik
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711118811911––
Filip Karel
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingOldrich Stehlik above · Filip Karel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 76 set 4, 9-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Stehlik 6–7 Filip Karel Oldrich Stehlik has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stehlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Karel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStehlik 1.67 / Karel 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stehlik)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12295913
Stehlik1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite61% won 43 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it81% 29 of 36
Karel2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 17 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back39% 7 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back17% 1 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStehlik6wins
AwayKarel4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStehlik leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStehlik80%4 of 5
AwayKarel60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stehlik5Karel5n = 10split evenly
S2Stehlik5Karel5n = 10split evenly
S3Stehlik6Karel4n = 10Stehlik took 6 of 10
S4Stehlik3Karel5n = 8Karel took 5 of 8
S5Stehlik4Karel2n = 6Stehlik took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStehlikKarelS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.4−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStehlikKarelBasisWin rate · lifetime130 / 234 vs 68 / 12355.6%55.3%130 / 234 vs 68 / 123Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StehlikStehlik 1.67/Karel 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Stehlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Karel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 24 · 14:05O. Stehlik39411112113F. Karel3711391132
WJul 16 · 17:50O. Stehlik48111196113F. Karel4779111192
WJul 16 · 14:35O. Stehlik517111012113F. Karel45114121082
LMay 23 · 20:35O. Stehlik23621141F. Karel4211119113
WMay 16 · 13:15O. Stehlik4011711113F. Karel34711971
WMay 16 · 11:35O. Stehlik331111113F. Karel207580
LMay 13 · 18:35O. Stehlik3761111812F. Karel49117911113
WMay 11 · 11:35O. Stehlik46115118113F. Karel4191181122
LApr 11 · 17:15O. Stehlik3911681132F. Karel46711116113
LApr 11 · 14:35O. Stehlik228680F. Karel331111113
O. Stehlik10
WSep 17 · 20:35O. Stehlik1.501111113T. Trnka2.507860WSep 17 · 19:05T. Bartik1.44116101172O. Stehlik2.63511129113WSep 17 · 18:35J. Ruzicka1.839960O. Stehlik1.831111113LAug 5 · 17:21O. Stehlik1.8011691182M. Mastera1.91511119113LAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113LAug 5 · 15:05O. Stehlik2.108670D. Lengal1.671111113WAug 5 · 14:05O. Stehlik1.73129117123M. Mastera2.001011511102LAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122LAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113LAug 2 · 19:05O. Stehlik2.107760D. Lengal1.671111113
F. Karel10
WSep 6 · 17:18T. Trnka2.256911121F. Karel1.5711118143LSep 6 · 16:05F. Karel1.91911761T. Bartik1.8011611113LSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113LSep 6 · 14:05F. Karel1.44791191T. Trnka2.6311114113WSep 2 · 13:39F. Karel1.6711116113D. Lengal2.10761171WSep 2 · 12:05F. Karel1.9113911113T. Bartik1.801111781WSep 2 · 11:05F. Karel1.576111110113D. Lengal2.2511971232WAug 5 · 16:05O. Stehlik1.917940F. Karel1.801111113WAug 2 · 21:04F. Karel1.83811118143O. Stehlik1.83118711122WAug 2 · 20:05O. Stehlik1.919880F. Karel1.801111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Stehlik
Nothing scheduled
F. Karel
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