TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13158395
Played Sep 19Finished
Martin Mastera
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116711511911––
Anton Veliiev
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:56 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeMartin Mastera to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Mastera above · Anton Veliiev below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Martin Mastera at 59.4%
51 points drawn · the score is 20 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:56What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Mastera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Mastera 1706 vs Veliiev 1680
Mastera
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mastera 40% vs Veliiev 80%
Veliiev
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mastera 50% vs Veliiev 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mastera +1 · Veliiev +4
Veliiev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Mastera) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMastera 1.40 / Veliiev 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Mastera)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13158395
Mastera1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 45 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Veliiev2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 57 days ago (Jul 24) · back after a break
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 3 of 14
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMasteraVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 340 vs 128 / 21949.7%58.5%169 / 340 vs 128 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MasteraMastera 1.40/Veliiev 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Mastera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veliiev won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Mastera10
LSep 19 · 15:35O. Polak1.611111113M. Mastera2.206960WSep 10 · 17:10O. Polak1.61812158102M. Mastera2.2011101311123LSep 10 · 16:35M. Holub2.381211113M. Mastera1.5310870LSep 10 · 15:35M. Mastera2.258101131O. Polak1.5711126113LSep 10 · 14:05J. Ruzicka1.73911511113M. Mastera2.0011711972WSep 6 · 17:50M. Mastera2.441111113T. Bartik1.457730WSep 6 · 16:35M. Mastera1.5041213113T. Trnka2.5011101161WSep 6 · 15:05F. Karel1.734690M. Mastera2.001111113WSep 6 · 14:35T. Bartik1.57116111162M. Mastera2.25911138113LSep 5 · 09:40J. Joksch1.781110129113M. Mastera1.93912101172
A. Veliiev10
WSep 19 · 15:05O. Stehlik1.44991391A. Veliiev2.63111111113WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 19:30T. Stachera2.253550A. Veliiev1.531111113WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123
Upcoming Matches
M. Mastera
Nothing scheduled
A. Veliiev
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