TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12296315
Played Jul 24Finished
Tomasz Stachera
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511511––––
Anton Veliiev
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
46 points played in total.
Set by set
311511511––––
H2H Tomasz Stachera 0–3 Anton Veliiev Tomasz Stachera has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:53What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (60%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stachera 1516 vs Veliiev 1624
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stachera 20% vs Veliiev 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stachera 40% vs Veliiev 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stachera -1 · Veliiev +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Veliiev) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStachera 2.25 / Veliiev 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 62%
Edge (Veliiev)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #12296315
Stachera2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 29 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Veliiev1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite67% won 59 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it93% 40 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStachera0wins
AwayVeliiev3wins
Veliiev leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStacheran = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stachera0Veliiev3n = 3Veliiev took 3 of 3
S2Stachera0Veliiev3n = 3Veliiev took 3 of 3
S3Stachera0Veliiev3n = 3Veliiev took 3 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away3100%
These 3 meetings
MetricStacheraVeliievS − VBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match19.733.7−14.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStacheraVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 265 vs 125 / 21647.6%57.9%126 / 265 vs 125 / 216Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievStachera 2.25/Veliiev 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.5%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMar 19 · 20:30T. Stachera—11630A. Veliiev—1311113
LMar 13 · 16:00T. Stachera—6560A. Veliiev—1111113
LFeb 17 · 20:00T. Stachera—7690A. Veliiev—1111113
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181
A. Veliiev10
WJul 24 · 22:30K. Guzy2.2091111141A. Veliiev1.5811138163WJul 24 · 20:30P. Kos3.2057110A. Veliiev1.271111133WJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 15:00K. Guzy2.06751112113A. Veliiev1.63111181042LJul 24 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.711111119113A. Veliiev2.0061371162LJul 23 · 22:40K. Guzy1.891111113A. Veliiev1.756560LJul 23 · 21:00P. Kos4.4011811113A. Veliiev1.18911651LJul 23 · 19:30A. Veliiev2.1784100K. Kowalewski1.561111123WJul 23 · 17:30B. Gola2.901A. Veliiev1.323WJul 23 · 15:00K. Guzy2.651011661A. Veliiev1.4312711113
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