TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13036548
Played Aug 28Finished
Mateusz Szymanski
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
51112101181517112
Tomasz Stachera
Away
2.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:58 and never touched — 64.3% is still 64.3%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
64.3%
64.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
102 points played in total.
Set by set
51112101181517112
H2H Mateusz Szymanski 1–0 Tomasz Stachera Tomasz Stachera has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (62%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1614 vs Stachera 1512
Szymanski
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 80% vs Stachera 20%
Szymanski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 80% vs Stachera 40%
Szymanski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski +1 · Stachera -3
Stachera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 1.50 / Stachera 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 39%
Edge (Szymanski)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #13036548
Szymanski1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite51% won 26 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it71% 17 of 24
Stachera2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayStachera0wins
Szymanski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSzymanskiStacheraSzymanski − StacheraBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.032.0+11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiStacheraBasisWin rate · lifetime124 / 227 vs 118 / 25554.6%46.3%124 / 227 vs 118 / 255Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiSzymanski 1.50/Stachera 2.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.5%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 13 · 22:00M. Szymanski—12119113T. Stachera—1031181
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113LAug 21 · 18:00P. Kos2.2011117113T. Stachera1.57481181WAug 21 · 15:30G. Rokita2.951261151T. Stachera1.3114116113
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