TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087103
Played Sep 6Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
1.96
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121012117711––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:36 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timePawel Kos to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
10121012117711––
H2H Pawel Kos 5–6 Mateusz Szymanski Pawel Kos has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Szymanski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1554 vs Szymanski 1549
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 80% vs Szymanski 20%
Kos
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 60% vs Szymanski 20%
Kos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +1 · Szymanski -4
Szymanski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Szymanski) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.96 / Szymanski 1.70
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szymanski)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13087103
Kos1.96
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 72 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Szymanski1.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 29 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwaySzymanski6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzymanski leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos75%3 of 4
AwaySzymanski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos4Szymanski6n = 10Szymanski took 6 of 10
S2Kos4Szymanski6n = 10Szymanski took 6 of 10
S3Kos3Szymanski7n = 10Szymanski took 7 of 10
S4Kos2Szymanski5n = 7Szymanski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosSzymanskiK − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.637.4−1.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime287 / 636 vs 136 / 25545.1%53.3%287 / 636 vs 136 / 255Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiKos 1.96/Szymanski 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 22:10P. Kos—97100M. Szymanski—1111123
WAug 28 · 16:00P. Kos—111186113M. Szymanski—85111182
LAug 1 · 14:15P. Kos—911881M. Szymanski—11811113
LAug 1 · 08:35P. Kos—5660M. Szymanski—1111113
LJun 14 · 07:35P. Kos—1181091M. Szymanski—91112113
WMay 3 · 07:05P. Kos—71112113M. Szymanski—1181061
LMay 2 · 23:15P. Kos—8790M. Szymanski—1111113
WMay 2 · 21:05P. Kos—117139113M. Szymanski—911111152
WApr 26 · 13:45P. Kos—11117113M. Szymanski—551151
LApr 26 · 06:05P. Kos—51011101M. Szymanski—11124123
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133WSep 3 · 16:00K. Zapala1.50581191P. Kos2.3511118113
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133
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