TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13088092
Played Sep 6Finished
Adam Duch
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111161181210––
Pawel Kos
Away
1.74
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
5111161181210––
H2H Adam Duch 59–41 Pawel Kos Pawel Kos has won 41 of their 100 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 2.00 / Kos 1.74
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Duch)-0.5pp
TT Cup · #13088092
Duch2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 21 of 47
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Kos1.74
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 35 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch8wins
AwayKos2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch100%7 of 7
AwayKos66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch7Kos3n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Duch8Kos2n = 10Duch took 8 of 10
S3Duch8Kos2n = 10Duch took 8 of 10
S4Duch1Kos2n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchKosD − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.127.1+7.0per matchSweeps61+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchKosBasisWin rate · lifetime446 / 751 vs 287 / 63759.4%45.1%446 / 751 vs 287 / 637Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosDuch 2.00/Kos 1.74
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:35A. Duch—1111113P. Kos—6990
LAug 8 · 13:45A. Duch—711691P. Kos—11511113
WAug 8 · 10:05A. Duch—1111113P. Kos—4890
WAug 7 · 17:00A. Duch—21111113P. Kos—116981
WAug 6 · 22:30A. Duch—1111113P. Kos—5680
WAug 6 · 21:00A. Duch—1111113P. Kos—5370
LAug 1 · 09:35A. Duch—68100P. Kos—1111123
WJul 30 · 21:40A. Duch—1113113P. Kos—51170
WJul 30 · 17:00A. Duch—1111123P. Kos—96100
WJul 29 · 19:00A. Duch—118117113P. Kos—41161162
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113WSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala2.3611914852A. Duch1.487111211113
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133WSep 3 · 16:00K. Zapala1.50581191P. Kos2.3511118113
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