TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081859
Played Sep 5Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.36
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1179111412811511
Adam Duch
Away
1.48
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:30 and never touched — 54.8% is still 54.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.8%
54.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
1179111412811511
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 30–48 Adam Duch Krzysztof Zapala has won 30 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (61%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-48 in 78
Duch
Correct
gap of 18 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1506 vs Duch 1561
Duch
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 40% vs Duch 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 30% vs Duch 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -3 · Duch -1
Zapala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.36 / Duch 1.48
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Duch)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13081859
Zapala2.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Duch1.48
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 109 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it77% 81 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala6wins
AwayDuch4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala60%3 of 5
AwayDuch40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala5Duch5n = 10split evenly
S2Zapala5Duch5n = 10split evenly
S3Zapala5Duch5n = 10split evenly
S4Zapala2Duch4n = 6Duch took 4 of 6
S5Zapala3Duch0n = 3Zapala took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaDuchZ − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.635.8+1.8per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime315 / 693 vs 438 / 74145.5%59.1%315 / 693 vs 438 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchZapala 2.36/Duch 1.48
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.9%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 06:35K. Zapala—1111113A. Duch—7880
LAug 7 · 22:30K. Zapala—12116101A. Duch—101311123
WAug 7 · 16:00K. Zapala—911115113A. Duch—11951132
WAug 6 · 17:30K. Zapala—41111113A. Duch—118561
LAug 5 · 16:00K. Zapala—811100A. Duch—1113123
WJul 31 · 20:00K. Zapala—611119113A. Duch—11761172
WJul 30 · 18:30K. Zapala—1111113A. Duch—7820
LJul 29 · 16:00K. Zapala—1213691A. Duch—101511113
LJul 18 · 18:35K. Zapala—8860A. Duch—1111113
WJul 17 · 16:30K. Zapala—118513113A. Duch—511111172
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.