TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087104
Played Sep 6Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
91113111311119––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
2.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:32 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
91113111311119––
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 28–16 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 16 of their 44 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (68%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-16 in 44
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 12 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1653 vs Zapala 1507
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 40% vs Zapala 20%
Kowalewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 40% vs Zapala 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski -2 · Zapala -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Kowalewski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.33 / Zapala 2.85
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Kowalewski)+3.6pp
TT Cup · #13087104
Kowalewski1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 137 of 227
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it75% 94 of 126
Zapala2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 83 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalewski5wins
AwayZapala5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski66.7%4 of 6
AwayZapala75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski6Zapala4n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S2Kowalewski3Zapala7n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Kowalewski7Zapala3n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S4Kowalewski1Zapala5n = 6Zapala took 5 of 6
S5Kowalewski2Zapala1n = 3Kowalewski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalewskiZapalaK − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.636.3+1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 304 vs 319 / 70360.5%45.4%184 / 304 vs 319 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.33/Zapala 2.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.8%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 21:35K. Kowalewski—1167111K. Zapala—91111133
WSep 3 · 20:30K. Kowalewski—118118143K. Zapala—611911122
LAug 29 · 17:35K. Kowalewski—13911792K. Zapala—1111511113
LAug 27 · 20:30K. Kowalewski—61011121K. Zapala—11123143
LAug 21 · 22:40K. Kowalewski—1770K. Zapala—1111113
WAug 21 · 18:30K. Kowalewski—1111117123K. Zapala—513611102
WAug 20 · 18:30K. Kowalewski—1111113K. Zapala—7440
WAug 19 · 20:30K. Kowalewski—1111113K. Zapala—5260
WAug 13 · 20:30K. Kowalewski—131111133K. Zapala—1579111
LAug 12 · 18:30K. Kowalewski—9740K. Zapala—1111113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771WSep 5 · 16:35A. Duch2.30112441K. Kowalewski1.5591111113
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
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