TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084997
Played Sep 5Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
15174111113––––
Damian Bucko
Away
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
15174111113––––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 36–34 Damian Bucko Damian Bucko has won 34 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Bucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-34 in 70
Zapala
Wrong
gap of 2 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1535 vs Bucko 1565
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 60% vs Bucko 40%
Zapala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 50% vs Bucko 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala +1 · Bucko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zapala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.85 / Bucko 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Bucko)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13084997
Zapala1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Bucko1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala4wins
AwayBucko6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala50%3 of 6
AwayBucko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala6Bucko4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Zapala5Bucko5n = 10split evenly
S3Zapala4Bucko6n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S4Zapala3Bucko4n = 7Bucko took 4 of 7
S5Zapala2Bucko4n = 6Bucko took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaBuckoZ − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.041.7−2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 698 vs 338 / 60845.6%55.6%318 / 698 vs 338 / 608Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoZapala 1.85/Bucko 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 19:35K. Zapala—3950D. Bucko—1111113
WSep 3 · 16:30K. Zapala—9111313133D. Bucko—1171511112
LAug 29 · 19:35K. Zapala—7350D. Bucko—1111113
LAug 27 · 16:30K. Zapala—111166102D. Bucko—691111123
LAug 21 · 17:30K. Zapala—11613972D. Bucko—2111111113
WAug 20 · 16:30K. Zapala—12911113D. Bucko—1011791
WAug 12 · 17:30K. Zapala—1111113D. Bucko—4560
LAug 11 · 16:30K. Zapala—61141142D. Bucko—118117113
WAug 6 · 16:30K. Zapala—1161211113D. Bucko—811101392
LAug 5 · 16:30K. Zapala—11118882D. Bucko—891111113
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
D. Bucko10
LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192LSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133
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