TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13078839
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111113811––––
Damian Bucko
Away
2.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:28 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
63 points played in total.
Set by set
9111113811––––
H2H Adam Duch 58–53 Damian Bucko Damian Bucko has won 53 of their 111 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (56%)
Duch
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-53 in 111
Duch
Wrong
gap of 5 in 111, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1574 vs Bucko 1561
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 20% vs Bucko 40%
Bucko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 20% vs Bucko 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch +1 · Bucko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.62 / Bucko 2.07
Signal prob.57% / 44%
Edge (Duch)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13078839
Duch1.62
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 108 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it94% 61 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it77% 80 of 104
Bucko2.07
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 69 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back32% 23 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back21% 9 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch4wins
AwayBucko6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch44.4%4 of 9
AwayBuckon = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch9Bucko1n = 10Duch took 9 of 10
S2Duch4Bucko6n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Duch6Bucko4n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S4Duch2Bucko5n = 7Bucko took 5 of 7
S5Duch0Bucko3n = 3Bucko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchBuckoD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match41.340.1+1.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchBuckoBasisWin rate · lifetime437 / 738 vs 335 / 60159.2%55.7%437 / 738 vs 335 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.62/Bucko 2.07
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.5%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 6 · 14:30A. Duch—1161071D. Bucko—91112113
LAug 5 · 19:00A. Duch—11911972D. Bucko—911911113
WJul 30 · 20:00A. Duch—11118113D. Bucko—991181
LJul 10 · 18:00A. Duch—12911792D. Bucko—1011511113
LJul 9 · 15:00A. Duch—981151D. Bucko—11116113
WJun 19 · 14:30A. Duch—1111113D. Bucko—9930
WJun 18 · 15:30A. Duch—1111113D. Bucko—8860
WJun 13 · 17:35A. Duch—1111113D. Bucko—6960
LJun 12 · 15:00A. Duch—11112514102D. Bucko—9132712123
LJun 11 · 22:30A. Duch—1161491D. Bucko—81116113
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192LSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.