TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086518
Played Sep 6Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Adam Duch
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
57 points played in total.
Set by set
611911911––––
H2H Pawel Kos 40–58 Adam Duch Pawel Kos has won 40 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-58 in 98
Duch
Correct
gap of 18 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1550 vs Duch 1613
Duch
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 60% vs Duch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 60% vs Duch 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +3 · Duch -1
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 2.50 / Duch 1.47
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Duch)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13086518
Kos2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 72 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Duch1.47
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 113 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it94% 63 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it77% 82 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos2wins
AwayDuch8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDuch87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos2Duch8n = 10Duch took 8 of 10
S2Kos3Duch7n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S3Kos2Duch8n = 10Duch took 8 of 10
S4Kos2Duch1n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosDuchK − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match27.935.0−7.1per matchSweeps16−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 634 vs 443 / 74845.1%59.2%286 / 634 vs 443 / 748Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchKos 2.50/Duch 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 10:05P. Kos—4890A. Duch—1111113
LAug 7 · 17:00P. Kos—116981A. Duch—21111113
LAug 6 · 22:30P. Kos—5680A. Duch—1111113
LAug 6 · 21:00P. Kos—5370A. Duch—1111113
WAug 1 · 09:35P. Kos—1111123A. Duch—68100
LJul 30 · 21:40P. Kos—51170A. Duch—1113113
LJul 30 · 17:00P. Kos—96100A. Duch—1111123
LJul 29 · 19:00P. Kos—41161162A. Duch—118117113
LJul 10 · 15:30P. Kos—9980A. Duch—1111113
WJul 9 · 17:00P. Kos—51111173A. Duch—1188151
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133WSep 3 · 16:00K. Zapala1.50581191P. Kos2.3511118113
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113WSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala2.3611914852A. Duch1.487111211113
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