TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13072907
Played Sep 3Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.61
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116113118––––
Pawel Kos
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 59.1% is still 59.1%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
59.1%
59.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
116113118––––
H2H Damian Bucko 59–31 Pawel Kos Pawel Kos has won 31 of their 90 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:31What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Bucko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-31 in 90
Bucko
Correct
gap of 28 in 90, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1569 vs Kos 1530
Bucko
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 20% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 40% vs Kos 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -3 · Kos +2
Bucko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bucko) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.61 / Kos 2.15
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Bucko)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13072907
Bucko1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite47% won 40 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it74% 29 of 39
Kos2.15
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 69 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko5wins
AwayKos5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko83.3%5 of 6
AwayKos100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko6Kos4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S2Bucko6Kos4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Bucko5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S4Bucko2Kos5n = 7Kos took 5 of 7
S5Bucko2Kos2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoKosB − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.239.5+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoKosBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 596 vs 287 / 64156%44.8%334 / 596 vs 287 / 641Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuckoBucko 1.61/Kos 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.4%
Bucko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 16:30D. Bucko—711571P. Kos—11411113
WAug 27 · 19:00D. Bucko—117179113P. Kos—711151182
LAug 21 · 14:30D. Bucko—11133101P. Kos—81511123
LAug 20 · 19:00D. Bucko—412118132P. Kos—1110911153
WAug 12 · 21:00D. Bucko—11115113P. Kos—891161
LAug 6 · 19:00D. Bucko—89120P. Kos—1111143
WJul 30 · 19:00D. Bucko—118118113P. Kos—71171142
LJul 10 · 19:00D. Bucko—911111182P. Kos—118135113
WJul 9 · 22:30D. Bucko—1111113P. Kos—8790
WJul 9 · 21:00D. Bucko—1111113P. Kos—7780
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133WSep 3 · 16:00K. Zapala1.50581191P. Kos2.3511118113
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