TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13078477
Played Sep 4Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911117116511119
Karol Guzy
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
911117116511119
H2H Damian Bucko 39–29 Karol Guzy Karol Guzy has won 29 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Guzy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
39-29 in 68
Bucko
Correct
gap of 10 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1557 vs Guzy 1671
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 114 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 40% vs Guzy 80%
Guzy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 30% vs Guzy 70%
Guzy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -2 · Guzy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.85 / Guzy 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guzy)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13078477
Bucko1.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Guzy1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko5wins
AwayGuzy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko80%4 of 5
AwayGuzy80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko5Guzy5n = 10split evenly
S2Bucko3Guzy7n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S3Bucko8Guzy2n = 10Bucko took 8 of 10
S4Bucko4Guzy4n = 8split evenly
S5Bucko1Guzy2n = 3Guzy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoGuzyB − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.2+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime334 / 599 vs 627 / 104855.8%59.8%334 / 599 vs 627 / 1048Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyBucko 1.85/Guzy 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 20:00D. Bucko—2101411112K. Guzy—1112126133
LAug 29 · 15:05D. Bucko—7111071K. Guzy—11312113
WAug 28 · 14:30D. Bucko—91111113K. Guzy—113931
WAug 27 · 20:00D. Bucko—1112113K. Guzy—31090
LAug 12 · 19:30D. Bucko—119112102K. Guzy—811711123
LAug 11 · 22:30D. Bucko—7911111K. Guzy—11119133
WAug 11 · 18:00D. Bucko—11911113K. Guzy—611981
WAug 6 · 18:00D. Bucko—12811113K. Guzy—1011791
LAug 5 · 22:30D. Bucko—7960K. Guzy—1111113
WAug 5 · 20:00D. Bucko—129116113K. Guzy—101181162
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113LSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
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