TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084996
Played Sep 5Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
2.06
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1147116111012––
Adam Duch
Away
1.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
1147116111012––
H2H Karol Guzy 44–49 Adam Duch Karol Guzy has won 44 of their 93 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:59What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.63 (56%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-49 in 93
Duch
Correct
gap of 5 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1684 vs Duch 1602
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 82 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 80% vs Duch 60%
Guzy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Duch 50%
Guzy
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +3 · Duch +1
Guzy
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 2.06 / Duch 1.63
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guzy)+1.8pp
TT Cup · #13084996
Guzy2.06
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 62 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back20% 6 of 30
Duch1.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 109 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it77% 81 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy5wins
AwayDuch5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy100%3 of 3
AwayDuch71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy3Duch7n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Guzy7Duch3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S3Guzy4Duch6n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S4Guzy1Duch6n = 7Duch took 6 of 7
S5Guzy4Duch1n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyDuchG − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.940.7−2.8per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime633 / 1057 vs 441 / 74559.9%59.2%633 / 1057 vs 441 / 745Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 2.06/Duch 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy—111137113A. Duch—98111192
WSep 4 · 14:00K. Guzy—1111108123A. Duch—891211102
WAug 8 · 08:35K. Guzy—711119113A. Duch—11841152
LAug 7 · 15:30K. Guzy—6116131A. Duch—11411153
LAug 6 · 19:30K. Guzy—17120A. Duch—1111143
WAug 5 · 17:00K. Guzy—811811143A. Duch—113118122
LAug 1 · 13:45K. Guzy—861181A. Duch—11118113
LAug 1 · 12:35K. Guzy—410100A. Duch—1112123
LJul 31 · 19:00K. Guzy—11111482A. Duch—116711113
WJul 30 · 15:00K. Guzy—1113113A. Duch—71180
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771LSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113WSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala2.3611914852A. Duch1.487111211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.