TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13085325
Played Sep 6Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
16141012211811––
Adam Duch
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:08 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
16141012211811––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 30–50 Adam Duch Krzysztof Zapala has won 30 of their 80 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-50 in 80
Duch
Correct
gap of 20 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1488 vs Duch 1654
Duch
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 60% vs Duch 80%
Duch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 40% vs Duch 60%
Duch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -1 · Duch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.25 / Duch 1.54
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Duch)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13085325
Zapala2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 84 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 57
Duch1.54
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 117 of 189
Up 2–0, closes it94% 65 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it78% 84 of 108
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala5wins
AwayDuch5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala33.3%2 of 6
AwayDuch25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala6Duch4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Zapala5Duch5n = 10split evenly
S3Zapala6Duch4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S4Zapala1Duch6n = 7Duch took 6 of 7
S5Zapala2Duch1n = 3Zapala took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaDuchZ − DBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.938.0+0.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime319 / 705 vs 447 / 75245.3%59.4%319 / 705 vs 447 / 752Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchZapala 2.25/Duch 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala—1610281A. Duch—141211113
LSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala—11914852A. Duch—7111211113
WAug 8 · 06:35K. Zapala—1111113A. Duch—7880
LAug 7 · 22:30K. Zapala—12116101A. Duch—101311123
WAug 7 · 16:00K. Zapala—911115113A. Duch—11951132
WAug 6 · 17:30K. Zapala—41111113A. Duch—118561
LAug 5 · 16:00K. Zapala—811100A. Duch—1113123
WJul 31 · 20:00K. Zapala—611119113A. Duch—11761172
WJul 30 · 18:30K. Zapala—1111113A. Duch—7820
LJul 29 · 16:00K. Zapala—1213691A. Duch—101511113
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113WSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala2.3611914852A. Duch1.487111211113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.