TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13083473
Played Sep 5Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.54
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811113811––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
2.22
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1012811113811––
H2H Karol Guzy 66–40 Krzysztof Zapala Krzysztof Zapala has won 40 of their 106 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Guzy
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
66-40 in 106
Guzy
Wrong
gap of 26 in 106, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1671 vs Zapala 1497
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Zapala 20%
Guzy
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Zapala 20%
Guzy
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +1 · Zapala -4
Zapala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.54 / Zapala 2.22
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Guzy)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13083473
Guzy1.54
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite62% won 166 of 270
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 130 of 158
Zapala2.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy8wins
AwayZapala2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy100%4 of 4
AwayZapala33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Guzy8Zapala2n = 10Guzy took 8 of 10
S3Guzy7Zapala3n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S4Guzy3Zapala3n = 6split evenly
S5Guzy4Zapala1n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyZapalaG − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.240.9+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime630 / 1053 vs 315 / 69459.8%45.4%630 / 1053 vs 315 / 694Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyGuzy 1.54/Zapala 2.22
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.2%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 18:30K. Guzy—1211113K. Zapala—10570
WAug 29 · 21:35K. Guzy—11122511133K. Zapala—13102313112
WAug 27 · 18:30K. Guzy—11811113K. Zapala—911691
WAug 13 · 22:00K. Guzy—412118113K. Zapala—111041182
WAug 13 · 18:30K. Guzy—8111110113K. Zapala—11691272
LAug 12 · 22:40K. Guzy—6980K. Zapala—1111113
LAug 12 · 20:30K. Guzy—151111192K. Zapala—176115113
WAug 11 · 20:30K. Guzy—1511123K. Zapala—138100
WAug 8 · 09:35K. Guzy—9111312123K. Zapala—1171510102
WAug 7 · 20:30K. Guzy—1111113K. Zapala—9890
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151
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