TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086361
Played Sep 6Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
1.51
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Pawel Kos
Away
2.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:09 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Zapala to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
711611711––––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 31–37 Pawel Kos Krzysztof Zapala has won 31 of their 68 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:09What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Zapala
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-37 in 68
Kos
Correct
gap of 6 in 68, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1513 vs Kos 1519
Kos
Correct
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 40% vs Kos 60%
Kos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 30% vs Kos 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -2 · Kos +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Zapala) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 1.51 / Kos 2.40
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Zapala)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13086361
Zapala1.51
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 63 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it86% 36 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it77% 51 of 66
Kos2.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 72 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala5wins
AwayKos5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala83.3%5 of 6
AwayKos100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala6Kos4n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S2Zapala5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S3Zapala5Kos5n = 10split evenly
S4Zapala4Kos4n = 8split evenly
S5Zapala1Kos2n = 3Kos took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaKosZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.438.9+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaKosBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 700 vs 288 / 64445.4%44.7%318 / 700 vs 288 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.936.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaZapala 1.51/Kos 2.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.8%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala—9480P. Kos—1111113
LSep 3 · 16:00K. Zapala—581191P. Kos—11118113
LAug 27 · 16:00K. Zapala—712981P. Kos—111011113
WAug 21 · 16:30K. Zapala—11119113P. Kos—261131
LAug 20 · 16:00K. Zapala—119111072P. Kos—511712113
WAug 19 · 16:30K. Zapala—111110113P. Kos—671271
LAug 13 · 16:30K. Zapala—911111192P. Kos—119137113
WAug 12 · 16:00K. Zapala—1191312143P. Kos—8111114122
WAug 8 · 11:35K. Zapala—111211123P. Kos—9149101
WAug 7 · 18:30K. Zapala—1113113P. Kos—61160
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133WSep 3 · 16:00K. Zapala1.50581191P. Kos2.3511118113
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