TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086754
Played Sep 6Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
141211131181614––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:28 and never touched — 60.6% is still 60.6%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
60.6%
60.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
141211131181614––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 14–18 Mateusz Szymanski Krzysztof Zapala has won 14 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:28What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Szymanski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-18 in 32
Szymanski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1499 vs Szymanski 1572
Szymanski
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 20% vs Szymanski 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 30% vs Szymanski 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -3 · Szymanski -2
Zapala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Szymanski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.25 / Szymanski 1.54
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Szymanski)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13086754
Zapala2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 83 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56
Szymanski1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 29 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it64% 16 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala6wins
AwaySzymanski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZapala leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala75%3 of 4
AwaySzymanski40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala4Szymanski5n = 9Szymanski took 5 of 9
S2Zapala5Szymanski4n = 9Zapala took 5 of 9
S3Zapala3Szymanski6n = 9Szymanski took 6 of 9
S4Zapala6Szymanski2n = 8Zapala took 6 of 8
S5Zapala3Szymanski1n = 4Zapala took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaSzymanskiZ − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match42.441.4+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 701 vs 136 / 25345.4%53.8%318 / 701 vs 136 / 253Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymanskiZapala 2.25/Szymanski 1.54
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.6%
Szymanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala—101111173M. Szymanski—1269151
LAug 29 · 22:45K. Zapala—7230M. Szymanski—1111113
WAug 29 · 18:35K. Zapala—12169113M. Szymanski—10141181
WJul 31 · 22:00K. Zapala—81111113M. Szymanski—119761
LJul 18 · 17:35K. Zapala—13491162M. Szymanski—1111116113
WJul 17 · 22:10K. Zapala—1112811113M. Szymanski—81411782
WJul 17 · 16:00K. Zapala—1211119113M. Szymanski—14301192
LJun 21 · 13:05K. Zapala—4118111M. Szymanski—11711133
WJun 20 · 21:05K. Zapala—1110511113M. Szymanski—61211792
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.