TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13085823
Played Sep 6Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.55
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
81112109111191210
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
2.21
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
103 points played in total.
Set by set
81112109111191210
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 13–11 Mateusz Szymanski Mateusz Szymanski has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:18What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-11 in 24
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1649 vs Szymanski 1572
Kowalewski
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 40% vs Szymanski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 40% vs Szymanski 60%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski -2 · Szymanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.55 / Szymanski 2.21
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Kowalewski)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13085823
Kowalewski1.55
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 140 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 95 of 129
Szymanski2.21
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 28 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back28% 12 of 43
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalewski6wins
AwaySzymanski4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKowalewski leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski71.4%5 of 7
AwaySzymanski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski7Szymanski3n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S2Kowalewski4Szymanski6n = 10Szymanski took 6 of 10
S3Kowalewski4Szymanski6n = 10Szymanski took 6 of 10
S4Kowalewski7Szymanski2n = 9Kowalewski took 7 of 9
S5Kowalewski3Szymanski3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalewskiSzymanskiK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.944.2+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 306 vs 138 / 25760.5%53.7%185 / 306 vs 138 / 257Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.55/Szymanski 2.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski—812911123M. Szymanski—1110119102
LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113
WSep 5 · 20:35K. Kowalewski—121211123M. Szymanski—10149101
LSep 4 · 21:00K. Kowalewski—66111132M. Szymanski—111188113
WAug 29 · 15:35K. Kowalewski—1211123M. Szymanski—107100
WAug 28 · 17:00K. Kowalewski—11117113M. Szymanski—481151
LAug 1 · 10:05K. Kowalewski—9111191M. Szymanski—11813113
LJul 31 · 19:30K. Kowalewski—11771582M. Szymanski—7111113113
WJul 18 · 19:05K. Kowalewski—119911143M. Szymanski—711112122
WJul 17 · 21:00K. Kowalewski—115119113M. Szymanski—91191192
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771WSep 5 · 16:35A. Duch2.30112441K. Kowalewski1.5591111113
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133
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