TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086249
Played Sep 6Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.74
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117113––––
Adam Duch
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:10 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
117117113––––
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 25–17 Adam Duch Adam Duch has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:10What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.74 (53%)
Kowalewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-17 in 42
Kowalewski
Correct
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1649 vs Duch 1654
Duch
Wrong
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 40% vs Duch 80%
Duch
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 40% vs Duch 70%
Duch
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski +1 · Duch +3
Duch
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.74 / Duch 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kowalewski)+1.2pp
TT Cup · #13086249
Kowalewski1.74
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 140 of 232
Up 2–0, closes it96% 71 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it74% 95 of 129
Duch1.95
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 22 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalewski6wins
AwayDuch4wins
Kowalewski leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski100%3 of 3
AwayDuch57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski3Duch7n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Kowalewski6Duch4n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S3Kowalewski6Duch4n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S4Kowalewski4Duch1n = 5Kowalewski took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalewskiDuchK − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match32.830.1+2.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 306 vs 447 / 75260.5%59.4%185 / 306 vs 447 / 752Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiKowalewski 1.74/Duch 1.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kowalewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski—1111113A. Duch—7730
WSep 5 · 16:35K. Kowalewski—91111113A. Duch—112441
WSep 4 · 15:00K. Kowalewski—51111113A. Duch—115961
WAug 8 · 12:05K. Kowalewski—1115113A. Duch—61390
LAug 7 · 21:00K. Kowalewski—8870A. Duch—1111113
LAug 6 · 15:00K. Kowalewski—911531A. Duch—11711113
WAug 5 · 22:00K. Kowalewski—11811113A. Duch—911731
WAug 5 · 15:30K. Kowalewski—51111113A. Duch—119861
LAug 1 · 11:35K. Kowalewski—69100A. Duch—1111123
LJul 31 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—6890A. Duch—1111113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771WSep 5 · 16:35A. Duch2.30112441K. Kowalewski1.5591111113
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:35A. Duch2.30112441K. Kowalewski1.5591111113
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