TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13086501
Played Sep 6Finished
Kamil Kowalewski
Home
1.87
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511117811117811
Karol Guzy
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:08 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
511117811117811
H2H Kamil Kowalewski 21–36 Karol Guzy Kamil Kowalewski has won 21 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Guzy
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-36 in 57
Guzy
Correct
gap of 15 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kowalewski 1670 vs Guzy 1672
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalewski 60% vs Guzy 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalewski 50% vs Guzy 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalewski +2 · Guzy -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalewski 1.87 / Guzy 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guzy)+3.5pp
TT Cup · #13086501
Kowalewski1.87
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 12 of 24
Down 0–1, comes back36% 5 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Guzy1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 166 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it92% 80 of 87
Up 1–0, closes it82% 130 of 158
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKowalewski3wins
AwayGuzy7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGuzy leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKowalewski33.3%1 of 3
AwayGuzy71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kowalewski3Guzy7n = 10Guzy took 7 of 10
S2Kowalewski7Guzy3n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S3Kowalewski5Guzy5n = 10split evenly
S4Kowalewski5Guzy4n = 9Kowalewski took 5 of 9
S5Kowalewski0Guzy4n = 4Guzy took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKowalewskiGuzyK − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.0−0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalewskiGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 303 vs 635 / 106160.7%59.9%184 / 303 vs 635 / 1061Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.240.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyKowalewski 1.87/Guzy 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski—51181182K. Guzy—117117113
LSep 5 · 19:05K. Kowalewski—1014771K. Guzy—121211113
LSep 4 · 19:30K. Kowalewski—111181372K. Guzy—761115113
WSep 3 · 22:40K. Kowalewski—91111153K. Guzy—1168131
LSep 3 · 14:00K. Kowalewski—781111112K. Guzy—111176133
WAug 29 · 23:45K. Kowalewski—71111113K. Guzy—117441
LAug 29 · 19:05K. Kowalewski—117431K. Guzy—81111113
WAug 28 · 15:00K. Kowalewski—1111113K. Guzy—9850
LAug 27 · 22:30K. Kowalewski—89131182K. Guzy—1111118113
LAug 27 · 14:00K. Kowalewski—1612891K. Guzy—181011113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771WSep 5 · 16:35A. Duch2.30112441K. Kowalewski1.5591111113
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771LSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
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