TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084502
Played Sep 5Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511117911411––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.88
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKarol Guzy to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
511117911411––
H2H Damian Bucko 40–29 Karol Guzy Karol Guzy has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:52What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (51%)
Bucko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
40-29 in 69
Bucko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1573 vs Guzy 1675
Guzy
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 40% vs Guzy 60%
Guzy
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 40% vs Guzy 70%
Guzy
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko +1 · Guzy +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bucko form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 1.83 / Guzy 1.88
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guzy)+4.7pp
TT Cup · #13084502
Bucko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite48% won 42 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it75% 30 of 40
Guzy1.88
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog51% won 62 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back35% 19 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back20% 6 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko5wins
AwayGuzy5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBucko75%3 of 4
AwayGuzy66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko4Guzy6n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S2Bucko4Guzy6n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S3Bucko8Guzy2n = 10Bucko took 8 of 10
S4Bucko4Guzy4n = 8split evenly
S5Bucko1Guzy2n = 3Guzy took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoGuzyB − GBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.0+1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime338 / 607 vs 632 / 105655.7%59.9%338 / 607 vs 632 / 1056Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.040.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyBucko 1.83/Guzy 1.88
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko—911115113K. Guzy—11761192
LSep 3 · 20:00D. Bucko—2101411112K. Guzy—1112126133
LAug 29 · 15:05D. Bucko—7111071K. Guzy—11312113
WAug 28 · 14:30D. Bucko—91111113K. Guzy—113931
WAug 27 · 20:00D. Bucko—1112113K. Guzy—31090
LAug 12 · 19:30D. Bucko—119112102K. Guzy—811711123
LAug 11 · 22:30D. Bucko—7911111K. Guzy—11119133
WAug 11 · 18:00D. Bucko—11911113K. Guzy—611981
WAug 6 · 18:00D. Bucko—12811113K. Guzy—1011791
LAug 5 · 22:30D. Bucko—7960K. Guzy—1111113
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192LSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771LSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192
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