TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13083472
Played Sep 5Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
2.15
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118117811711811
Adam Duch
Away
1.61
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDamian Bucko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
118117811711811
H2H Damian Bucko 54–58 Adam Duch Damian Bucko has won 54 of their 112 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:31What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-58 in 112
Duch
Correct
gap of 4 in 112, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1571 vs Duch 1570
Bucko
Wrong
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 40% vs Duch 60%
Duch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 40% vs Duch 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -1 · Duch +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 2.15 / Duch 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Duch)-1.8pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13083472
Bucko2.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 68 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back30% 22 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back19% 8 of 42
Duch1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 109 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it77% 81 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko6wins
AwayDuch4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBucko leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuckon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDuch50%4 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko2Duch8n = 10Duch took 8 of 10
S2Bucko6Duch4n = 10Bucko took 6 of 10
S3Bucko4Duch6n = 10Duch took 6 of 10
S4Bucko4Duch2n = 6Bucko took 4 of 6
S5Bucko3Duch0n = 3Bucko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoDuchB − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.1−1.1per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime337 / 605 vs 439 / 74255.7%59.2%337 / 605 vs 439 / 742Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchBucko 2.15/Duch 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.4%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 20:00D. Bucko—1113113A. Duch—91180
WAug 6 · 14:30D. Bucko—91112113A. Duch—1161071
WAug 5 · 19:00D. Bucko—911911113A. Duch—11911972
LJul 30 · 20:00D. Bucko—991181A. Duch—11118113
WJul 10 · 18:00D. Bucko—1011511113A. Duch—12911792
WJul 9 · 15:00D. Bucko—11116113A. Duch—981151
LJun 19 · 14:30D. Bucko—9930A. Duch—1111113
LJun 18 · 15:30D. Bucko—8860A. Duch—1111113
LJun 13 · 17:35D. Bucko—6960A. Duch—1111113
WJun 12 · 15:00D. Bucko—9132712123A. Duch—11112514102
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133WSep 5 · 15:05D. Bucko2.50411118113K. Kowalewski1.4611561172LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192LSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192LSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113
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