TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13081416
Played Sep 5Finished
Damian Bucko
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411115116811117
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.46
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 59.8% is still 59.8%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
59.8%
59.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
411115116811117
H2H Damian Bucko 13–21 Kamil Kowalewski Damian Bucko has won 13 of their 34 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Kowalewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-21 in 34
Kowalewski
Wrong
gap of 8 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bucko 1567 vs Kowalewski 1702
Kowalewski
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bucko 40% vs Kowalewski 60%
Kowalewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bucko 40% vs Kowalewski 80%
Kowalewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bucko -1 · Kowalewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBucko 2.50 / Kowalewski 1.46
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Kowalewski)+3.2pp
TT Cup · #13081416
Bucko2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog52% won 68 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back30% 22 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back19% 8 of 42
Kowalewski1.46
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 135 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBucko3wins
AwayKowalewski7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKowalewski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuckon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKowalewski87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bucko2Kowalewski8n = 10Kowalewski took 8 of 10
S2Bucko3Kowalewski7n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S3Bucko3Kowalewski7n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S4Bucko2Kowalewski3n = 5Kowalewski took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuckoKowalewskiB − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.637.3−8.7per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuckoKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime336 / 603 vs 180 / 29455.7%61.2%336 / 603 vs 180 / 294Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiBucko 2.50/Kowalewski 1.46
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bucko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 22:10D. Bucko—7811101K. Kowalewski—11119123
LSep 4 · 14:30D. Bucko—7560K. Kowalewski—1111113
LSep 3 · 18:00D. Bucko—6740K. Kowalewski—1111113
LAug 29 · 21:05D. Bucko—5540K. Kowalewski—1111113
WAug 28 · 22:40D. Bucko—11138113K. Kowalewski—5111191
WAug 28 · 20:00D. Bucko—911116113K. Kowalewski—11991182
LAug 27 · 18:00D. Bucko—7612101K. Kowalewski—111110123
LAug 21 · 15:00D. Bucko—51030K. Kowalewski—1112113
LAug 20 · 20:00D. Bucko—7700K. Kowalewski—1111113
WAug 12 · 22:10D. Bucko—11119123K. Kowalewski—8711101
D. Bucko10
WSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950LSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113LSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133LSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101WSep 4 · 20:00A. Duch1.6291180D. Bucko2.071113113LSep 4 · 19:00D. Bucko1.9011861192M. Szymanski1.80511117113WSep 4 · 18:00D. Bucko1.85911115113K. Guzy1.8511761192LSep 4 · 16:30D. Bucko1.471171412112B. Gola2.507111214133
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123WSep 4 · 22:10K. Kowalewski1.5011119123D. Bucko2.457811101
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