TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084501
Played Sep 5Finished
Krzysztof Zapala
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111161171311––
Kamil Kowalewski
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:53 and never touched — 73.7% is still 73.7%
Graded at full timeKamil Kowalewski to win
73.7%
73.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
9111161171311––
H2H Krzysztof Zapala 15–28 Kamil Kowalewski Krzysztof Zapala has won 15 of their 43 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (64%)
Kowalewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-28 in 43
Kowalewski
Wrong
gap of 13 in 43, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zapala 1517 vs Kowalewski 1692
Kowalewski
Wrong
both rated, 174 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zapala 40% vs Kowalewski 60%
Kowalewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zapala 40% vs Kowalewski 60%
Kowalewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zapala -1 · Kowalewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Kowalewski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZapala 2.60 / Kowalewski 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Kowalewski)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13084501
Zapala2.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 80 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Kowalewski1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 135 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it96% 70 of 73
Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZapala5wins
AwayKowalewski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZapala75%3 of 4
AwayKowalewski66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zapala4Kowalewski6n = 10Kowalewski took 6 of 10
S2Zapala7Kowalewski3n = 10Zapala took 7 of 10
S3Zapala3Kowalewski7n = 10Kowalewski took 7 of 10
S4Zapala4Kowalewski2n = 6Zapala took 4 of 6
S5Zapala2Kowalewski2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZapalaKowalewskiZ − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.539.0−2.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZapalaKowalewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime317 / 697 vs 182 / 29845.5%61.1%317 / 697 vs 182 / 298Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KowalewskiZapala 2.60/Kowalewski 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Kowalewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zapala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 20:30K. Zapala—611911122K. Kowalewski—118118143
WAug 29 · 17:35K. Zapala—1111511113K. Kowalewski—13911792
WAug 27 · 20:30K. Zapala—11123143K. Kowalewski—61011121
WAug 21 · 22:40K. Zapala—1111113K. Kowalewski—1770
LAug 21 · 18:30K. Zapala—513611102K. Kowalewski—1111117123
LAug 20 · 18:30K. Zapala—7440K. Kowalewski—1111113
LAug 19 · 20:30K. Zapala—5260K. Kowalewski—1111113
LAug 13 · 20:30K. Zapala—1579111K. Kowalewski—131111133
WAug 12 · 18:30K. Zapala—1111113K. Kowalewski—9740
WAug 11 · 18:30K. Zapala—911113123K. Kowalewski—119811102
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
K. Kowalewski10
LSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113WSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102LSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113WSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771WSep 5 · 16:35A. Duch2.30112441K. Kowalewski1.5591111113
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