TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13087102
Played Sep 6Finished
Karol Guzy
Home
1.98
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1311811117511611
Adam Duch
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Duch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
1311811117511611
H2H Karol Guzy 44–50 Adam Duch Karol Guzy has won 44 of their 94 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-50 in 94
Duch
Correct
gap of 6 in 94, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Guzy 1679 vs Duch 1634
Guzy
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzy 60% vs Duch 80%
Duch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzy 70% vs Duch 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzy +2 · Duch +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Duch)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Duch form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzy 1.98 / Duch 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Guzy)-0.9pp
TT Cup · #13087102
Guzy1.98
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog52% won 66 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back36% 20 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back20% 6 of 30
Duch1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 113 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it94% 63 of 67
Up 1–0, closes it77% 82 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGuzy4wins
AwayDuch6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDuch leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGuzy66.7%2 of 3
AwayDuch71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Guzy3Duch7n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Guzy6Duch4n = 10Guzy took 6 of 10
S3Guzy3Duch7n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S4Guzy1Duch7n = 8Duch took 7 of 8
S5Guzy4Duch1n = 5Guzy took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGuzyDuchG − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.841.9−4.1per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzyDuchBasisWin rate · lifetime636 / 1062 vs 445 / 75059.9%59.3%636 / 1062 vs 445 / 750Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchGuzy 1.98/Duch 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy—1176101A. Duch—41111123
WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy—111137113A. Duch—98111192
WSep 4 · 14:00K. Guzy—1111108123A. Duch—891211102
WAug 8 · 08:35K. Guzy—711119113A. Duch—11841152
LAug 7 · 15:30K. Guzy—6116131A. Duch—11411153
LAug 6 · 19:30K. Guzy—17120A. Duch—1111143
WAug 5 · 17:00K. Guzy—811811143A. Duch—113118122
LAug 1 · 13:45K. Guzy—861181A. Duch—11118113
LAug 1 · 12:35K. Guzy—410100A. Duch—1112123
LJul 31 · 19:00K. Guzy—11111482A. Duch—116711113
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 19:05K. Guzy2.00121211113K. Kowalewski1.711014771LSep 5 · 17:35K. Guzy1.541081181K. Zapala2.2212113113
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 22:05A. Duch1.581111113M. Szymanski2.147880LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113WSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala2.3611914852A. Duch1.487111211113
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