TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13084500
Played Sep 5Finished
Adam Duch
Home
1.58
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118118––––
Mateusz Szymanski
Away
2.14
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Szymanski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
56 points played in total.
Set by set
117118118––––
H2H Adam Duch 17–17 Mateusz Szymanski Dead even across their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.58 (58%)
Duch
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-17 in 34
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Duch 1573 vs Szymanski 1603
Szymanski
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Duch 60% vs Szymanski 40%
Duch
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Duch 40% vs Szymanski 60%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Duch -1 · Szymanski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Duch) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDuch 1.58 / Szymanski 2.14
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Duch)-2.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13084500
Duch1.58
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 109 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it77% 81 of 105
Szymanski2.14
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 28 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDuch5wins
AwaySzymanski5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDuch71.4%5 of 7
AwaySzymanski100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Duch7Szymanski3n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S2Duch5Szymanski5n = 10split evenly
S3Duch7Szymanski3n = 10Duch took 7 of 10
S4Duch2Szymanski4n = 6Szymanski took 4 of 6
S5Duch1Szymanski3n = 4Szymanski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDuchSzymanskiD − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.5+1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDuchSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 744 vs 135 / 24959.1%54.2%440 / 744 vs 135 / 249Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DuchDuch 1.58/Szymanski 2.14
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Duch · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Duch won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 17:00A. Duch—49111142M. Szymanski—111135113
LAug 1 · 06:35A. Duch—12411662M. Szymanski—1011711113
LJul 31 · 18:00A. Duch—9511111M. Szymanski—11118133
WJul 18 · 23:05A. Duch—111286113M. Szymanski—310111192
LJul 18 · 15:35A. Duch—117116112M. Szymanski—911511133
LJul 17 · 19:00A. Duch—5940M. Szymanski—1111113
WJun 21 · 06:35A. Duch—11118133M. Szymanski—4811111
WJun 20 · 23:45A. Duch—1111113M. Szymanski—5890
WJun 20 · 19:35A. Duch—1111113M. Szymanski—2770
WJun 19 · 19:00A. Duch—1111113M. Szymanski—9860
A. Duch10
WSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101WSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172WSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Kowalewski1.741111113A. Duch1.957730WSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113WSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123LSep 5 · 20:05K. Guzy1.90111137113A. Duch1.7698111192WSep 5 · 18:05D. Bucko2.1511118782A. Duch1.61871111113WSep 5 · 17:05K. Zapala2.3611914852A. Duch1.487111211113
M. Szymanski10
WSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113WSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113LSep 6 · 11:35A. Duch1.541111106113M. Szymanski2.2248121172LSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 6 · 06:05K. Kowalewski1.55812911123M. Szymanski2.211110119102WSep 5 · 22:35K. Kowalewski—13981452M. Szymanski—11111112113LSep 5 · 20:35M. Szymanski2.1010149101K. Kowalewski1.60121211123LSep 5 · 18:35K. Zapala2.50101111173M. Szymanski1.461269151WSep 5 · 16:05D. Bucko1.991185111M. Szymanski1.6771111133
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